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  Projected landscape-scale repercussions of global action for climate and biodiversity protection

von Jeetze, P. J., Weindl, I., Johnson, J. A., Borrelli, P., Panagos, P., Molina Bacca, E. J., Karstens, K., Humpenöder, F., Dietrich, J. P., Minoli, S., Müller, C., Lotze-Campen, H., Popp, A. (2023): Projected landscape-scale repercussions of global action for climate and biodiversity protection. - Nature Communications, 14, 2515.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-38043-1

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https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7804740 (Supplementary material)
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 Creators:
von Jeetze, Patrick José1, Author              
Weindl, Isabelle1, Author              
Johnson, Justin Andrew2, Author
Borrelli, Pasquale2, Author
Panagos, Panos2, Author
Molina Bacca, Edna J.1, Author              
Karstens, Kristine1, Author              
Humpenöder, Florian1, Author              
Dietrich, Jan Philipp1, Author              
Minoli, Sara1, Author              
Müller, Christoph1, Author              
Lotze-Campen, Hermann1, Author              
Popp, Alexander1, Author              
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Abstract: Land conservation and increased carbon uptake on land are fundamental to achieving the ambitious targets of the climate and biodiversity conventions. Yet, it remains largely unknown how such ambitions, along with an increasing demand for agricultural products, could drive landscape-scale changes and affect other key regulating nature’s contributions to people (NCP) that sustain land productivity outside conservation priority areas. By using an integrated, globally consistent modelling approach, we show that ambitious carbon-focused land restoration action and the enlargement of protected areas alone may be insufficient to reverse negative trends in landscape heterogeneity, pollination supply, and soil loss. However, we also find that these actions could be combined with dedicated interventions that support critical NCP and biodiversity conservation outside of protected areas. In particular, our models indicate that conserving at least 20% semi-natural habitat within farmed landscapes could primarily be achieved by spatially relocating cropland outside conservation priority areas, without additional carbon losses from land-use change, primary land conversion or reductions in agricultural productivity.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2023-03-102023-04-132023-05-162023-05-16
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: 14
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-38043-1
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
MDB-ID: No MDB - stored outside PIK (see DOI)
Model / method: MAgPIE
Regional keyword: Global
Research topic keyword: Food & Agriculture
Research topic keyword: Land use
Research topic keyword: Biodiversity
Research topic keyword: Ecosystems
OATYPE: Gold - DEAL Springer Nature
Working Group: Land-Use Management
 Degree: -

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Project name : SHAPE
Grant ID : 01LS1907A
Funding program : -
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Title: Nature Communications
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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Publ. Info: -
Pages: - Volume / Issue: 14 Sequence Number: 2515 Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals354
Publisher: Nature