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  Improving the representation of cost of capital in energy system models

Lonergan, K. E., Egli, F., Osorio, S., Sansavini, G., Pahle, M., Schmidt, T. S., Steffen, B. (2023): Improving the representation of cost of capital in energy system models. - Joule, 7, 3, 469-483.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2023.02.004

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 Urheber:
Lonergan, Katherine E.1, Autor
Egli, Florian1, Autor
Osorio, Sebastian2, Autor              
Sansavini, Giovanni1, Autor
Pahle, Michael2, Autor              
Schmidt, Tobias S.1, Autor
Steffen, Bjarne1, Autor
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Zusammenfassung: Energy system models suggest optimal investment pathways and guide policymakers in implementing the low-carbon energy transition. Although model accuracy greatly improved over the last decade, it is unclear whether the cost of capital (CoC) is well represented, despite the parameter’s strong influence on model outcomes. In this perspective, we review 58 model-based publications that explicitly refer to CoC and observe that simply stating unfounded assumptions remains the most important “method” for determining the CoC. Overall, there appears to be a clear lack of guiding principles for how to appropriately determine CoC for use within models. To close this gap, we identify four barriers to a more accurate CoC reflection and suggest practical steps for overcoming them, including heuristic guidelines to support modelers in determining when differentiated CoC rates ought to be applied. Overall, we believe more rigorous treatment of the CoC will improve the quality of model-based policy advice.

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Sprache(n): eng - Englisch
 Datum: 2023-03-032023-03-15
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
 Seiten: -
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1016/j.joule.2023.02.004
MDB-ID: No data to archive
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Working Group: Climate & Energy Policy
Regional keyword: Global
Model / method: Quantitative Methods
Research topic keyword: Energy
Research topic keyword: CO2 Removal
Research topic keyword: Climate Policy
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Titel: Joule
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus
 Urheber:
Affiliations:
Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 7 (3) Artikelnummer: - Start- / Endseite: 469 - 483 Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/joule
Publisher: Elsevier
Publisher: Cell Press