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  Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein

Asseng, S., Martre, P., Maiorano, A., Rötter, R. P., O'Leary, G. J., Fitzgerald, G. J., Girousse, C., Motzo, R., Giunta, F., Babar, M. A., Reynolds, M. P., Kheir, A. M. S., Thorburn, P. J., Waha, K., Ruane, A. C., Aggarwal, P. K., Ahmed, M., Balkovič, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A. J., De Sanctis, G., Dumont, B., Rezaei, E. E., Fereres, E., Ferrise, R., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Gao, Y., Horan, H., Hoogenboom, G., Izaurralde, R. C., Jabloun, M., Jones, C. D., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K.-C., Klein, C., Koehler, A.-K., Liu, B., Minoli, S., Montesino San Martin, M., Müller, C., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., Olesen, J. E., Palosuo, T., Porter, J. R., Prisack, E., Ripoche, D., Semenov, M. A., Stöckle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Van der Velde, M., Wallach, D., Wang, E., Webber, H., Wolf, J., Xiao, L., Zhang, Z., Zhao, Z., Zhu, Y., Ewert, F. (2019): Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein. - Global Change Biology, 25, 1, 155-173.
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14481

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Item Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_22768 Version Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_22768_3
Genre: Journal Article

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 Creators:
Asseng, S.1, Author
Martre, P.1, Author
Maiorano, A.1, Author
Rötter, R. P.1, Author
O'Leary, G. J.1, Author
Fitzgerald, G. J.1, Author
Girousse, C.1, Author
Motzo, R.1, Author
Giunta, F.1, Author
Babar, M. A.1, Author
Reynolds, M. P.1, Author
Kheir, A. M. S.1, Author
Thorburn, P. J.1, Author
Waha, K.1, Author
Ruane, A. C.1, Author
Aggarwal, P. K.1, Author
Ahmed, M.1, Author
Balkovič, J.1, Author
Basso, B.1, Author
Biernath, C.1, Author
Bindi, M.1, AuthorCammarano, D.1, AuthorChallinor, A. J.1, AuthorDe Sanctis, G.1, AuthorDumont, B.1, AuthorRezaei, E. E.1, AuthorFereres, E.1, AuthorFerrise, R.1, AuthorGarcia-Vila, M.1, AuthorGayler, S.1, AuthorGao, Y.1, AuthorHoran, H.1, AuthorHoogenboom, G.1, AuthorIzaurralde, R. C.1, AuthorJabloun, M.1, AuthorJones, C. D.1, AuthorKassie, B. T.1, AuthorKersebaum, K.-C.1, AuthorKlein, C.1, AuthorKoehler, A.-K.1, AuthorLiu, B.1, AuthorMinoli, Sara2, Author              Montesino San Martin, M.1, AuthorMüller, Christoph2, Author              Kumar, S. N.1, AuthorNendel, C.1, AuthorOlesen, J. E.1, AuthorPalosuo, T.1, AuthorPorter, J. R.1, AuthorPrisack, E.1, AuthorRipoche, D.1, AuthorSemenov, M. A.1, AuthorStöckle, C.1, AuthorStratonovitch, P.1, AuthorStreck, T.1, AuthorSupit, I.1, AuthorTao, F.1, AuthorVan der Velde, M.1, AuthorWallach, D.1, AuthorWang, E.1, AuthorWebber, H.1, AuthorWolf, J.1, AuthorXiao, L.1, AuthorZhang, Z.1, AuthorZhao, Z.1, AuthorZhu, Y.1, AuthorEwert, F.1, Author more..
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: Wheat grain protein concentration is an important determinant of wheat quality for human nutrition that is often overlooked in efforts to improve crop production. We tested and applied a 32‐multi‐model ensemble to simulate global wheat yield and quality in a changing climate. Potential benefits of elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration by 2050 on global wheat grain and protein yield are likely to be negated by impacts from rising temperature and changes in rainfall, but with considerable disparities between regions. Grain and protein yields are expected to be lower and more variable in most low‐rainfall regions, with nitrogen availability limiting growth stimulus from elevated CO2. Introducing genotypes adapted to warmer temperatures (and also considering changes in CO2 and rainfall) could boost global wheat yield by 7% and protein yield by 2%, but grain protein concentration would be reduced by −1.1 percentage points, representing a relative change of −8.6%. Climate change adaptations that benefit grain yield are not always positive for grain quality, putting additional pressure on global wheat production.

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 Dates: 2019
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14481
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
eDoc: 8277
Research topic keyword: Climate impacts
Research topic keyword: Adaptation
Research topic keyword: Food & Agriculture
Model / method: Model Intercomparison
Model / method: LPJmL
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Working Group: Land Use and Resilience
 Degree: -

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Title: Global Change Biology
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 25 (1) Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 155 - 173 Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals192