Deutsch
 
Datenschutzhinweis Impressum
  DetailsucheBrowse

Datensatz

 
 
DownloadE-Mail
  Global warming due to loss of large ice masses and Arctic summer sea ice

Wunderling, N., Willeit, M., Donges, J. F., Winkelmann, R. (2020): Global warming due to loss of large ice masses and Arctic summer sea ice. - Nature Communications, 11, 5177.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18934-3

Item is

Dateien

einblenden: Dateien
ausblenden: Dateien
:
Manuscript_Wunderling.pdf (Preprint), 742KB
 
Datei-Permalink:
-
Name:
Manuscript_Wunderling.pdf
Beschreibung:
-
Sichtbarkeit:
Privat
MIME-Typ / Prüfsumme:
application/pdf
Technische Metadaten:
Copyright Datum:
-
Copyright Info:
-
Lizenz:
-
:
24581oa.pdf (Verlagsversion), 2MB
Name:
24581oa.pdf
Beschreibung:
-
Sichtbarkeit:
Öffentlich
MIME-Typ / Prüfsumme:
application/pdf / [MD5]
Technische Metadaten:
Copyright Datum:
-
Copyright Info:
-
Lizenz:
-

Externe Referenzen

einblenden:

Urheber

einblenden:
ausblenden:
 Urheber:
Wunderling, Nico1, Autor              
Willeit, Matteo1, Autor              
Donges, Jonathan Friedemann1, Autor              
Winkelmann, Ricarda1, Autor              
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, ou_persistent13              

Inhalt

einblenden:
ausblenden:
Schlagwörter: -
 Zusammenfassung: Several large-scale cryosphere elements such as the Arctic summer sea ice, the mountain glaciers, the Greenland and West Antarctic Ice Sheet have changed substantially during the last century due to anthropogenic global warming. However, the impacts of their possible future disintegration on global mean temperature (GMT) and climate feedbacks have not yet been comprehensively evaluated. Here, we quantify this response using an Earth system model of intermediate complexity. Overall, we find a median additional global warm-ing of 0.43 ˝C (interquartile range: 0.39´0.46 ˝C) at a CO2 concentration of 400 ppm. Most of this response (55%) is caused by albedo changes, but lapse rate together with water vapour (30%) and cloud feedbacks (15%) also con-tribute significantly. While a decay of the ice sheets would occur on centen-nial to millennial time scales, the Arctic might become ice-free during summer within the 21st century. Our findings imply an additional increase of the GMT on intermediate to long time scales.

Details

einblenden:
ausblenden:
Sprache(n): eng - Englisch
 Datum: 2019-01-102020-09-172020-10-272020-10-27
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
 Seiten: -
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: MDB-ID: yes - 3050
Model / method: CLIMBER
PIKDOMAIN: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
Regional keyword: Arctic & Antarctica
Research topic keyword: Ice
Research topic keyword: Tipping Elements
Organisational keyword: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-18934-3
Working Group: Ice Dynamics
Working Group: Whole Earth System Analysis
 Art des Abschluß: -

Veranstaltung

einblenden:

Entscheidung

einblenden:

Projektinformation

einblenden: ausblenden:
Projektname : Dynamical Phenomena in Complex Networks: Fundamentals and Applications
Grant ID : -
Förderprogramm : International Research Training Group (IRTG-1740)
Förderorganisation : IRTG

Quelle 1

einblenden:
ausblenden:
Titel: Nature Communications
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
 Urheber:
Affiliations:
Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 11 Artikelnummer: 5177 Start- / Endseite: - Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals354
Publisher: Springer Nature