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  Common but differentiated leadership: strategies and challenges for carbon neutrality by 2050 across industrialized economies

Schreyer, F., Luderer, G., Dias Bleasby Rodrigues, R., Pietzcker, R. C., Baumstark, L., Sugiyama, M., Brecha, R. J., Ueckerdt, F. (2020): Common but differentiated leadership: strategies and challenges for carbon neutrality by 2050 across industrialized economies. - Environmental Research Letters, 15, 11, 114016.
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abb852

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Schreyer, Felix1, Autor              
Luderer, Gunnar1, Autor              
Dias Bleasby Rodrigues, Renato1, Autor              
Pietzcker, Robert C.1, Autor              
Baumstark, Lavinia1, Autor              
Sugiyama, Masahiro2, Autor
Brecha, Robert J.2, Autor
Ueckerdt, Falko1, Autor              
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Zusammenfassung: Given their historic emissions and economic capability, we analyze a leadership role for representative industrialized regions (EU, US, Japan, and Australia) in the global climate mitigation effort. Using the global integrated assessment model REMIND, we systematically compare region-specific mitigation strategies and challenges of reaching domestic net-zero carbon emissions in 2050. Embarking from different emission profiles and trends, we find that all of the regions have technological options and mitigation strategies to reach carbon neutrality by 2050. Regional characteristics are mostly related to different land availability, population density and population trends: While Japan is resource limited with respect to onshore wind and solar power and has constrained options for carbon dioxide removal (CDR), their declining population significantly decreases future energy demand. In contrast, Australia and the US benefit from abundant renewable resources, but face challenges to curb industry and transport emissions given increasing populations and high per-capita energy use. In the EU, lack of social acceptance or EU-wide cooperation might endanger the ongoing transition to a renewable-based power system. CDR technologies are necessary for all regions, as residual emissions cannot be fully avoided by 2050. For Australia and the US, in particular, CDR could reduce the required transition pace, depth and costs. At the same time, this creates the risk of a carbon lock-in, if decarbonization ambition is scaled down in anticipation of CDR technologies that fail to deliver. Our results suggest that industrialized economies can benefit from cooperation based on common themes and complementary strengths. This may include trade of electricity-based fuels and materials as well as the exchange of regional experience on technology scale-up and policy implementation.

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 Datum: 2020-09-152020-10-022020-10-162020-10-16
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
 Seiten: -
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abb852
MDB-ID: yes - 3057
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Research topic keyword: Mitigation
Research topic keyword: Energy
Regional keyword: Oceania/Australia
Regional keyword: Europe
Regional keyword: North America
Model / method: REMIND
Working Group: Energy Systems
Working Group: Research Software Engineering for Transformation Pathways
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Titel: Environmental Research Letters
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 15 (11) Artikelnummer: 114016 Start- / Endseite: - Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/150326
Publisher: IOP Publishing