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  Assessing the impacts of technological change on food security and climate change mitigation in China’s agriculture and land-use sectors

Wang, X., Du, R., Cai, H., Lin, B., Dietrich, J. P., Stevanović, M., Lotze-Campen, H., Popp, A. (2024 online): Assessing the impacts of technological change on food security and climate change mitigation in China’s agriculture and land-use sectors. - Environmental Impact Assessment Review, 107, 107550.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107550

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 Creators:
Wang, Xiaoxi1, Author              
Du, Ruiying2, Author
Cai, Hao2, Author
Lin, Bin2, Author
Dietrich, Jan Philipp1, Author              
Stevanović, Miodrag1, Author              
Lotze-Campen, Hermann1, Author              
Popp, Alexander1, Author              
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Abstract: China has made substantial investment in agricultural research and development (R&D) to promote technological change (TC). Although the role of TC in enhancing agricultural production and mitigating environmental impacts is widely recognized in separate contexts, knowledge about its’ effects on food security and the environment, especially with a focus on China, is still lacking. This study uses an agro-economic optimization model to assess the impact of TC on food security and climate change mitigation. Our results indicate that TC plays an important role in improving agricultural productivity, which, in turn, contributes to a comparative advantage in agricultural trade. It also strengthens food security through lowering food prices. By contrast, a higher TC level increases greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, albeit marginally, due to higher agricultural production for exports. This indicates a rebound effect of agricultural productivity on GHG emissions. Therefore, additional efforts are required in China to improve food security without compromising GHG mitigation.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2024-01-112024-05-062024-05-30
 Publication Status: Published online
 Pages: 9
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107550
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Working Group: Land Use and Resilience
Working Group: Land-Use Management
MDB-ID: No data to archive
Model / method: Quantitative Methods
Regional keyword: Asia
Research topic keyword: Food & Agriculture
Research topic keyword: Land use
Research topic keyword: Adaptation
 Degree: -

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Title: Environmental Impact Assessment Review
Source Genre: Journal, SSCI, Scopus
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Publ. Info: -
Pages: - Volume / Issue: 107 Sequence Number: 107550 Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/1873-6432
Publisher: Elsevier