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  A protocol to develop Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture

Mitter, H., Techen, A.-K., Sinabell, F., Helming, K., Kok, K., Priess, J. A., Schmid, E., Bodirsky, B. L., Holman, I., Lehtonen, H., Leip, A., Le Mouël, C., Mathijs, E., Mehdi, B., Michetti, M., Mittenzwei, K., Mora, O., Øygarden, L., Reidsma, P., Schaldach, R., Schönhart, M. (2019): A protocol to develop Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture. - Journal of Environmental Management, 252, 109701.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109701

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 Creators:
Mitter, H.1, Author
Techen, A.-K.1, Author
Sinabell, F.1, Author
Helming, K.1, Author
Kok, K.1, Author
Priess, J. A.1, Author
Schmid, E.1, Author
Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon2, Author              
Holman, I.1, Author
Lehtonen, H.1, Author
Leip, A.1, Author
Le Mouël, C.1, Author
Mathijs, E.1, Author
Mehdi, B.1, Author
Michetti, M.1, Author
Mittenzwei, K.1, Author
Mora, O.1, Author
Øygarden, L.1, Author
Reidsma, P.1, Author
Schaldach, R.1, Author
Schönhart, M.1, Author more..
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: Moving towards a more sustainable future requires concerted actions, particularly in the context of global climate change. Integrated assessments of agricultural systems (IAAS) are considered valuable tools to provide sound information for policy and decision-making. IAAS use storylines to define socio-economic and environmental framework assumptions. While a set of qualitative global storylines, known as the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs), is available to inform integrated assessments at large scales, their spatial resolution and scope is insufficient for regional studies in agriculture. We present a protocol to operationalize the development of Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture – Eur-Agri-SSPs – to support IAAS. The proposed design of the storyline development process is based on six quality criteria: plausibility, vertical and horizontal consistency, salience, legitimacy, richness and creativity. Trade-offs between these criteria may occur. The process is science-driven and iterative to enhance plausibility and horizontal consistency. A nested approach is suggested to link storylines across scales while maintaining vertical consistency. Plausibility, legitimacy, salience, richness and creativity shall be stimulated in a participatory and interdisciplinary storyline development process. The quality criteria and process design requirements are combined in the protocol to increase conceptual and methodological transparency. The protocol specifies nine working steps. For each step, suitable methods are proposed and the intended level and format of stakeholder engagement are discussed. A key methodological challenge is to link global SSPs with regional perspectives provided by the stakeholders, while maintaining vertical consistency and stakeholder buy-in. We conclude that the protocol facilitates systematic development and evaluation of storylines, which can be transferred to other regions, sectors and scales and supports inter-comparisons of IAAS.

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 Dates: 2019
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: -
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 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109701
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
eDoc: 8773
Research topic keyword: Food & Agriculture
Research topic keyword: Land use
Model / method: Qualitative Methods
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Working Group: Land Use and Resilience
 Degree: -

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Title: Journal of Environmental Management
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 252 Sequence Number: 109701 Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/180220