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  A scenario-based method for projecting multi-regional input-output tables

Beaufils, T., Wenz, L. (2022): A scenario-based method for projecting multi-regional input-output tables. - Economic Systems Research, 34, 4, 440-468.
https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2021.1952404

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Datensatz-Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_25755 Versions-Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_25755_5
Genre: Zeitschriftenartikel

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 Urheber:
Beaufils, Timothé1, Autor              
Wenz, Leonie1, Autor              
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, ou_persistent13              

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Schlagwörter: -
 Zusammenfassung: Multi-regional input–output (MRIO) data are a powerful tool to analyze complex interdependencies in the international trade and supply network. Their field of application is however limited by the fact that MRIO datasets are only available for past years whereas the structure of the international trade network has been found to change profoundly over time. We here propose the SPIN method, a simple and flexible algorithm that can project MRIO tables into the future based on transparent scenarios of how gross domestic product and trade relations may evolve in that time. By combining well-established input–output techniques, namely the Leontief quantity model and an RAS-type algorithm, our method provides a straightforward mean to convert quantitative scenarios of the world economy into consistent MRIO tables. We illustrate the functioning of the SPIN method by projecting the evolution of the trade network after the 2008 financial crisis under different alternative scenarios of recovery.

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Sprache(n): eng - Englisch
 Datum: 2021-06-182021-07-312022-11
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
 Seiten: -
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2021.1952404
Organisational keyword: RD4 - Complexity Science
PIKDOMAIN: RD4 - Complexity Science
Research topic keyword: Economics
Research topic keyword: Complex Networks
Research topic keyword: Nonlinear Dynamics
Regional keyword: Global
Model / method: Open Source Software
MDB-ID: yes - 3206
Working Group: Data-based analysis of climate decisions
Research topic keyword: Sustainable Development
Model / method: Quantitative Methods
PIKDOMAIN: RD5 - Climate Economics and Policy - MCC Berlin
Organisational keyword: RD5 - Climate Economics and Policy - MCC Berlin
Working Group: Welfare and Policy Design
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Projektinformation

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Projektname : Impact of Intensified Weather Extremes on Europe’s Economy (ImpactEE)
Grant ID : Az.: 93350
Förderprogramm : Europe and Global Challenges
Förderorganisation : VolkswagenStiftung

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Titel: Economic Systems Research
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus
 Urheber:
Affiliations:
Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 34 (4) Artikelnummer: - Start- / Endseite: 440 - 468 Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/economic-systems-research
Publisher: Taylor & Francis