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  Climate change impacts on renewable energy supply

Gernaat, D. E., de Boer, H.-S., Daioglou, V., Yalew, S. G., Müller, C., van Vuuren, D. P. (2021 online): Climate change impacts on renewable energy supply. - Nature Climate Change.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00949-9

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 Urheber:
Gernaat, David E.H.J.1, Autor
de Boer, Harmen-Sytze1, Autor
Daioglou, Vassilis1, Autor
Yalew, Seleshi G.1, Autor
Müller, Christoph2, Autor              
van Vuuren, Detlef P.1, Autor
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Zusammenfassung: Renewable energy resources, which depend on climate, may be susceptible to future climate change. Here we use climate and integrated assessment models to estimate this effect on key renewables. Future potential and costs are quantified across two warming scenarios for eight technologies: utility-scale and rooftop photovoltaic, concentrated solar power, onshore and offshore wind energy, first-generation and lignocellulosic bioenergy, and hydropower. The generated cost–supply curves are then used to estimate energy system impacts. In a baseline warming scenario, the largest impact is increased availability of bioenergy, though this depends on the strength of CO2 fertilization. Impacts on hydropower and wind energy are uncertain, with declines in some regions and increases in others, and impacts on solar power are minor. In a future mitigation scenario, these impacts are smaller, but the energy system response is similar to that in the baseline scenario given a larger reliance of the mitigation scenario on renewables.

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 Datum: 2020-08-242021-01-11
 Publikationsstatus: Online veröffentlicht
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 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: MDB-ID: yes - 3006
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00949-9
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Research topic keyword: Energy
Research topic keyword: Land use
Research topic keyword: Climate impacts
Regional keyword: Global
Model / method: LPJmL
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Titel: Nature Climate Change
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Seiten: - Band / Heft: - Artikelnummer: - Start- / Endseite: - Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/140414