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  Synchronization phenomena observed in glacial–interglacial cycles simulated in an Earth system model of intermediate complexity

Mitsui, T., Willeit, M., Boers, N. (2023): Synchronization phenomena observed in glacial–interglacial cycles simulated in an Earth system model of intermediate complexity. - Earth System Dynamics, 14, 6, 1277-1294.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1277-2023

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Mitsui, Takahito1, Author              
Willeit, Matteo1, Author              
Boers, Niklas1, Author              
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1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: The glacial–interglacial cycles of the Quaternary exhibit 41 kyr periodicity before the Mid-Pleistocene Transition (MPT) around 1.2–0.8 Myr ago and ∼ 100 kyr periodicity after that. From the viewpoint of dynamical systems, proposed mechanisms generating these periodicities are broadly divided into two types: (i) nonlinear forced responses of a mono- or multi-stable climate system to the astronomical forcing or (ii) synchronization of internal self-sustained oscillations to the astronomical forcing. In this study, we investigate the dynamics of glacial cycles simulated by the Earth system model of intermediate complexity CLIMBER-2 with a fully interactive carbon cycle, which reproduces the MPT under gradual changes in volcanic-CO2 degassing and regolith cover. We report that, in this model, the dominant frequency of glacial cycles is set in line with the principle of synchronization. It is found that the model exhibits self-sustained oscillations in the absence of astronomical forcing. Before the MPT, glacial cycles synchronize to the 41 kyr obliquity cycles because the self-sustained oscillations have periodicity relatively close to 41 kyr. After the MPT the timescale of internal oscillations becomes too long to follow every 41 kyr obliquity cycle, and the oscillations synchronize to the 100 kyr eccentricity cycles that modulate the amplitude of climatic precession. The latter synchronization occurs with the help of the 41 kyr obliquity forcing, which enables some terminations and glaciations to occur robustly at their right timing. We term this phenomenon vibration-enhanced synchronization because of its similarity to the noise-enhanced synchronization known in nonlinear science. While we interpret the dominant periodicities of glacial cycles as the result of synchronization of internal self-sustained oscillations to the astronomical forcing, the Quaternary glacial cycles show facets of both synchronization and forced response.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2023-12-012023-12-122023-12-12
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: 18
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-1277-2023
MDB-ID: Entry suspended
PIKDOMAIN: RD4 - Complexity Science
Organisational keyword: FutureLab - Artificial Intelligence in the Anthropocene
Model / method: CLIMBER
Research topic keyword: Paleoclimate
Research topic keyword: Tipping Elements
Research topic keyword: Nonlinear Dynamics
Regional keyword: Global
OATYPE: Gold Open Access
 Degree: -

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Title: Earth System Dynamics
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 14 (6) Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 1277 - 1294 Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/1402282
Publisher: Copernicus