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  A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios

Kim, H., Rosa, I. M. D., Alkemade, R., Leadley, P., Hurtt, G., Popp, A., Vuuren, D. P. v., Anthoni, P., Arneth, A., Baisero, D., Caton, E., Chaplin-Kramer, R., Chini, L., De Palma, A., Di Fulvio, F., Di Marco, M., Espinoza, F., Ferrier, S., Fujimori, S., Gonzalez, R. E., Gueguen, M., Guerra, C., Harfoot, M., Harwood, T. D., Hasegawa, T., Haverd, V., Havlík, P., Hellweg, S., Hill, S. L. L., Hirata, A., Hoskins, A. J., Janse, J. H., Jetz, W., Johnson, J. A., Krause, A., Leclère, D., Martins, I. S., Matsui, T., Merow, C., Obersteiner, M., Ohashi, H., Poulter, B., Purvis, A., Quesada, B., Rondinini, C., Schipper, A. M., Sharp, R., Takahashi, K., Thuiller, W., Titeux, N., Visconti, P., Ware, C., Wolf, F., Pereira, H. M. (2018): A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios. - Geoscientific Model Development, 11, 11, 4537-4562.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-4537-2018

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Kim, H.1, Author
Rosa, I. M. D.1, Author
Alkemade, R.1, Author
Leadley, P.1, Author
Hurtt, G.1, Author
Popp, Alexander2, Author              
Vuuren, D. P. van1, Author
Anthoni, P.1, Author
Arneth, A.1, Author
Baisero, D.1, Author
Caton, E.1, Author
Chaplin-Kramer, R.1, Author
Chini, L.1, Author
De Palma, A.1, Author
Di Fulvio, F.1, Author
Di Marco, M.1, Author
Espinoza, F.1, Author
Ferrier, S.1, Author
Fujimori, S.1, Author
Gonzalez, R. E.1, Author
Gueguen, M.1, AuthorGuerra, C.1, AuthorHarfoot, M.1, AuthorHarwood, T. D.1, AuthorHasegawa, T.1, AuthorHaverd, V.1, AuthorHavlík, P.1, AuthorHellweg, S.1, AuthorHill, S. L. L.1, AuthorHirata, A.1, AuthorHoskins, A. J.1, AuthorJanse, J. H.1, AuthorJetz, W.1, AuthorJohnson, J. A.1, AuthorKrause, A.1, AuthorLeclère, D.1, AuthorMartins, I. S.1, AuthorMatsui, T.1, AuthorMerow, C.1, AuthorObersteiner, M.1, AuthorOhashi, H.1, AuthorPoulter, B.1, AuthorPurvis, A.1, AuthorQuesada, B.1, AuthorRondinini, C.1, AuthorSchipper, A. M.1, AuthorSharp, R.1, AuthorTakahashi, K.1, AuthorThuiller, W.1, AuthorTiteux, N.1, AuthorVisconti, P.1, AuthorWare, C.1, AuthorWolf, F.1, AuthorPereira, H. M.1, Author more..
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: To support the assessments of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES), the IPBES Expert Group on Scenarios and Models is carrying out an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized scenarios (BES-SIM). The goals of BES-SIM are (1) to project the global impacts of land-use and climate change on biodiversity and ecosystem services (i.e., nature's contributions to people) over the coming decades, compared to the 20th century, using a set of common metrics at multiple scales, and (2) to identify model uncertainties and research gaps through the comparisons of projected biodiversity and ecosystem services across models. BES-SIM uses three scenarios combining specific Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) – SSP1xRCP2.6, SSP3xRCP6.0, SSP5xRCP8.6 – to explore a wide range of land-use change and climate change futures. This paper describes the rationale for scenario selection, the process of harmonizing input data for land use, based on the second phase of the Land Use Harmonization Project (LUH2), and climate, the biodiversity and ecosystem services models used, the core simulations carried out, the harmonization of the model output metrics, and the treatment of uncertainty. The results of this collaborative modeling project will support the ongoing global assessment of IPBES, strengthen ties between IPBES and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios and modeling processes, advise the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) on its development of a post-2020 strategic plans and conservation goals, and inform the development of a new generation of nature-centred scenarios.

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 Dates: 2018
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-4537-2018
PIKDOMAIN: Sustainable Solutions - Research Domain III
eDoc: 8420
Research topic keyword: Biodiversity
Research topic keyword: Land use
Research topic keyword: Ecosystems
Research topic keyword: Mitigation
Research topic keyword: Food & Agriculture
Regional keyword: Global
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Working Group: Land-Use Management
 Degree: -

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Title: Geoscientific Model Development
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 11 (11) Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 4537 - 4562 Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals185