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  Risk-adjusted decision making can help protect food supply and farmer livelihoods in West Africa

Leip, D., Rovenskaya, E., Wildemeersch, M. (2024): Risk-adjusted decision making can help protect food supply and farmer livelihoods in West Africa. - Communications Earth and Environment, 5, 101.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01242-9

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 Creators:
Leip, Debbora1, Author              
Rovenskaya, Elena2, Author
Wildemeersch, Matthias2, Author
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Abstract: Weather extremes are challenging the achievement of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG 2) – Zero Hunger globally and, most notably, in West Africa where it is further aggravated by rapid population growth. Here we present a stylized stochastic food production model to show how optimal crop allocations change depending on food security risk targets. To guarantee stable livelihoods for farmers, we examine the viability of a contingency fund that supports farmers in the event of low crop yields. Applied to the West African context, accounting for weather variability can substantially improve the reliability of the food supply and boost the fiscal sustainability of a contingency fund. Yet, setting reliability targets for food security is costly and leaves high residual risk in certain regions. Spatial risk-sharing through regional cooperation at the West African scale can eliminate the risk of insufficient food supply and further enhance the fund solvency.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2023-10-062024-01-252024-02-242024-02-24
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: 13
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01242-9
MDB-ID: No MDB - stored outside PIK (see DOI)
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Working Group: Land-Use Management
Model / method: Quantitative Methods
Regional keyword: Africa
Research topic keyword: Adaptation
Research topic keyword: Climate Policy
Research topic keyword: Food & Agriculture
Research topic keyword: Land use
Research topic keyword: Sustainable Development
OATYPE: Gold Open Access
 Degree: -

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Title: Communications Earth and Environment
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, oa
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 5 Sequence Number: 101 Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/communications-earth-environment
Publisher: Nature