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  Corona and the climate: a comparison of two emergencies

Vinke, K., Gabrysch, S., Paoletti, E., Rockström, J., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2020): Corona and the climate: a comparison of two emergencies. - Global Sustainability, 3, e25.
https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2020.20

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 Creators:
Vinke, Kira1, Author              
Gabrysch, Sabine1, Author              
Paoletti, Emanuela1, Author              
Rockström, Johan1, Author              
Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim1, Author              
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: Within a few months, the COVID-19 pandemic caused by Severe Acute Respiratory SyndromeCoronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) has brought the everyday lives of billions of people to a halt, indu-cing great human suffering and unexpected economic shocks. Institutional deficits, including alack of preparedness and hesitant decision-making, are exposed as the crisis unfolds. As the par-allels between this global health emergency and the climate emergency become apparent, wereflect on how global society can manage shared risks and avert emergencies.The formula that captures why the term‘emergency’is appropriate in the context of climatechange can also be applied to the corona pandemic:Emergency =Risk ×Urgency =probability ×Damage × reactiontime (τ) / interventionTime (E=R×U=p×D×τ/T).Asatestcaseforemergency prevention and management, the current pandemic situation provides valuableinsights into climate change action and, more broadly, social susceptibility and resilience toshocks. In this article, we draw parallels between the two emergencies and outline lessonsfrom the corona crisis that can help manage the even more daunting challenge of anthropogenicglobal warming. Based on this comparison, we discuss the idea that the variables of theemergency formula can be influenced by: mitigation, lowering the probability for damage tooccur (pmitig); adaptation, limiting the experience of adverse effects of damages (Dadapt); goodgovernance, to be able to efficiently use our reaction time (τgovern); and science, which canincrease human perception of the remaining intervention time (Tscience). A contingency planfor an emergency thus constitutes the following elements: Econt=pmitig×Dadapt×τgovern/Tscience. We present our analysis in four steps: diagnosis, prognosis, therapy and rehabilitation.

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 Dates: 2020-08-012020-08-142020
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1017/sus.2020.20
PIKDOMAIN: Director / Executive Staff / Science & Society
PIKDOMAIN: Director Emeritus / Executive Staff / Science & Society
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
PIKDOMAIN: FutureLab - Social Metabolism and Impacts
Organisational keyword: Director Rockström
Organisational keyword: Director Emeritus Schellnhuber
Organisational keyword: FutureLab - Social Metabolism and Impacts
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Research topic keyword: Climate Policy
Research topic keyword: Global Commons
Research topic keyword: Health
Research topic keyword: Biodiversity
Research topic keyword: Sustainable Development
MDB-ID: No data to archive
Working Group: Climate Change and Health
 Degree: -

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Title: Global Sustainability
Source Genre: Journal, Scopus, oa
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 3 Sequence Number: e25 Start / End Page: - Identifier: Other: Cambridge University Press
Other: 2059-4798
CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/global-sustainability
Publisher: Cambridge University Press