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  Typology of coastal urban vulnerability under rapid urbanization

Sterzel, T., Lüdeke, M. K. B., Walther, C., Kok, M. T., Sietz, D., Lucas, P. L. (2020): Typology of coastal urban vulnerability under rapid urbanization. - PloS ONE, 15, 1, e0220936.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0220936

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 Creators:
Sterzel, Till1, Author
Lüdeke, Matthias K. B.2, Author              
Walther, Carsten2, Author              
Kok, M. T.1, Author
Sietz, Diana2, Author              
Lucas, P. L.1, Author
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: Coastal areas are urbanizing at unprecedented rates, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Combinations of long-standing and emerging problems in these urban areas generate vulnerability for human well-being and ecosystems alike. This baseline study provides a spatially explicit global systematization of these problems into typical urban vulnerability profiles for the year 2000 using largely sub-national data. Using 11 indicator datasets for urban expansion, urban population growth, marginalization of poor populations, government effectiveness, exposures and damages to climate-related extreme events, low-lying settlement, and wetlands prevalence, a cluster analysis reveals a global typology of seven clearly distinguishable clusters, or urban profiles of vulnerability. Each profile is characterized by a specific data-value combination of indicators representing mechanisms that generate vulnerability. Using 21 studies for testing the plausibility, we identify seven key profile-based vulnerabilities for urban populations, which are relevant in the context of global urbanization, expansion, and climate change. We show which urban coasts are similar in this regard. Sensitivity and exposure to extreme climate-related events, and government effectiveness, are the most important factors for the huge asymmetries of vulnerability between profiles. Against the background of underlying global trends we propose entry points for profile-based vulnerability reduction. The study provides a baseline for further pattern analysis in the rapidly urbanizing coastal fringe as data availability increases. We propose to explore socio-ecologically similar coastal urban areas as a basis for sharing experience and vulnerability-reducing measures among them.

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 Dates: 2020
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0220936
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
PIKDOMAIN: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
eDoc: 8566
Research topic keyword: Cities
Research topic keyword: Ecosystems
Research topic keyword: Sea-level Rise
Research topic keyword: Security & Migration
Research topic keyword: Extremes
Research topic keyword: Adaptation
Research topic keyword: Climate impacts
Research topic keyword: Policy Advice
Model / method: Nonlinear Data Analysis
Model / method: Transfer (Knowledge&Technology)
Regional keyword: Global
Organisational keyword: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Working Group: Ecosystems in Transition
Working Group: Urban Transformations
 Degree: -

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Title: PloS ONE
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3, OA
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 15 (1) Sequence Number: e0220936 Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/r1311121
Publisher: Public Library of Science (PLoS)