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  Co-dynamics of climate policy stringency and public support

Konc, T., Drews, S., Savin, I., van den Bergh, J. C. (2022): Co-dynamics of climate policy stringency and public support. - Global Environmental Change, 74, 102528.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102528

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 Creators:
Konc, Theo1, Author              
Drews, Stefan2, Author
Savin, Ivan2, Author
van den Bergh, Jeroen C.J.M.2, Author
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Abstract: Public support for stringent climate policies is currently weak. We develop a model to study the dynamics of public support for climate policies. It comprises three interconnected modules: one calculates policy impacts; a second translates these into policy support mediated by social influence; and a third represents the regulator adapting policy stringency depending on public support. The model combines general-equilibrium and agent-based elements and is empirically grounded in a household survey, which allows quantifying policy support as a function of effectiveness, personal wellbeing and distributional effects. We apply our approach to compare two policy instruments, namely carbon taxation and performance standards, and identify intertemporal trajectories that meet the climate target and count on sufficient public support. Our results highlight the importance of social influence, opinion stability and income inequality for public support of climate policies. Our model predicts that carbon taxation consistently generates more public support than standards. Finally, we show that under moderate social influence and income inequality, an increasing carbon tax trajectory combined with progressive revenue redistribution receives the highest average public support over time.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2022-05-072022-05
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: 12
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102528
MDB-ID: No data to archive
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Organisational keyword: FutureLab - Inequality, Human Well-Being and Development
Research topic keyword: Carbon Pricing
Research topic keyword: Climate Policy
Research topic keyword: Economics
Research topic keyword: Inequality and Equity
Model / method: Agent-based Models
OATYPE: Hybrid Open Access
 Degree: -

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Title: Global Environmental Change
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 74 Sequence Number: 102528 Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals193
Publisher: Elsevier