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  Towards an Integrated Approach to Wildfire Risk Assessment: When, Where, What and How May the Landscapes Burn

Chuvieco, E., Yebra, M., Martino, S., Thonicke, K., Gomez-Gimenez, M., San-Miguel-Ayanz, J., Oom, D., Velea, R., Mouillot, F., Molina, J. R., Miranda, A. I., Lopes, D., Salis, M., Bugaric, M., Sofiev, M., Kadantsev, E., Gitas, I. Z., Stavrakoudis, D., Eftychidis, G., Bar-Massada, A., Neidermeier, A., Pampanoni, V., Pettinari, M. L., Arrogante-Funes, F., Ochoa, C., Moreira, B., Viegas, D. (2023): Towards an Integrated Approach to Wildfire Risk Assessment: When, Where, What and How May the Landscapes Burn. - Fire, 6, 5, 215.
https://doi.org/10.3390/fire6050215

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 Creators:
Chuvieco, E.1, Author
Yebra, M.1, Author
Martino, S.1, Author
Thonicke, Kirsten2, Author              
Gomez-Gimenez, M.1, Author
San-Miguel-Ayanz, J.1, Author
Oom, D.1, Author
Velea, R.1, Author
Mouillot, F.1, Author
Molina, J. R.1, Author
Miranda, A. I.1, Author
Lopes, D.1, Author
Salis, M.1, Author
Bugaric, M.1, Author
Sofiev, M.1, Author
Kadantsev, E.1, Author
Gitas, I. Z.1, Author
Stavrakoudis, D.1, Author
Eftychidis, G.1, Author
Bar-Massada, A.1, Author
Neidermeier, A.1, AuthorPampanoni, V.1, AuthorPettinari, M. L.1, AuthorArrogante-Funes, F.1, AuthorOchoa, C.1, AuthorMoreira, B.1, AuthorViegas, D.1, Author more..
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: This paper presents a review of concepts related to wildfire risk assessment, including the determination of fire ignition and propagation (fire danger), the extent to which fire may spatially overlap with valued assets (exposure), and the potential losses and resilience to those losses (vulnerability). This is followed by a brief discussion of how these concepts can be integrated and connected to mitigation and adaptation efforts. We then review operational fire risk systems in place in various parts of the world. Finally, we propose an integrated fire risk system being developed under the FirEUrisk European project, as an example of how the different risk components (including danger, exposure and vulnerability) can be generated and combined into synthetic risk indices to provide a more comprehensive wildfire risk assessment, but also to consider where and on what variables reduction efforts should be stressed and to envisage policies to be better adapted to future fire regimes. Climate and socio-economic changes entail that wildfires are becoming even more a critical environmental hazard; extreme fires are observed in many areas of the world that regularly experience fire, yet fire activity is also increasing in areas where wildfires were previously rare. To mitigate the negative impacts of fire, those responsible for managing risk must leverage the information available through the risk assessment process, along with an improved understanding on how the various components of risk can be targeted to improve and optimize the many strategies for mitigation and adaptation to an increasing fire risk.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2023-05-162023-05-222023-05-22
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: 60
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: PIKDOMAIN: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
Organisational keyword: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
Research topic keyword: Biodiversity
Research topic keyword: Ecosystems
Regional keyword: Europe
Model / method: Quantitative Methods
Working Group: Ecosystems in Transition
MDB-ID: No data to archive
OATYPE: Gold Open Access
DOI: 10.3390/fire6050215
 Degree: -

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Title: Fire
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, oa
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Publ. Info: -
Pages: - Volume / Issue: 6 (5) Sequence Number: 215 Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/2571-6255
Publisher: MDPI