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  Narrative-driven alternative roads to achieve mid-century CO2 net neutrality in Europe

Dias Bleasby Rodrigues, R., Pietzcker, R. C., Fragkos, P., Price, J., McDowall, W., Siskos, P., Fotiou, T., Luderer, G., Capros, P. (2021 online): Narrative-driven alternative roads to achieve mid-century CO2 net neutrality in Europe. - Energy, 239, Part A, 121908.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.121908

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Dias Bleasby Rodrigues, Renato1, Autor              
Pietzcker, Robert C.1, Autor              
Fragkos, Panagiotis2, Autor
Price, James2, Autor
McDowall, Will2, Autor
Siskos, Pelopidas2, Autor
Fotiou, Theofano2, Autor
Luderer, Gunnar1, Autor              
Capros, Pantelis2, Autor
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Zusammenfassung: The tightened climate mitigation targets of the EU green deal raise an important question: Which strategy should be used to achieve carbon emissions net neutrality? This study explores stakeholder-designed narratives of the future energy system development within the deep decarbonization context. European carbon net-neutrality goals are put under test in a model comparison exercise using state of the art Energy-Environment-Economy (E3) models: ETM-UCL, PRIMES and REMIND. Results show that while achieving the transition to carbon neutrality by mid-century is feasible under quite different future energy systems, some robust commonalities emerge. Electrification of end use sectors combined with large-scale expansion of renewable energy is a no-regret decision for all strategies; Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) plays an important role for achieving net-neutral targets under all scenarios, but is most relevant when demand-side changes are limited; hydrogen and synthetic fuels can be a relevant mitigation option for mid-century mitigation in hard-to-abate sectors; energy efficiency can reduce the supply system strain. Finally, high carbon prices (300–900€/tCO2) are needed under all strategies in order to achieve carbon net neutrality in 2050.

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 Datum: 2021-08-262021-11-15
 Publikationsstatus: Online veröffentlicht
 Seiten: -
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.121908
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Research topic keyword: Carbon Pricing
Research topic keyword: Climate Policy
Research topic keyword: Decarbonization  
Research topic keyword: Mitigation
Regional keyword: Europe
Regional keyword: Germany
Model / method: REMIND
OATYPE: Hybrid Open Access
MDB-ID: pending
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Titel: Energy
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 239 (Part A) Artikelnummer: 121908 Start- / Endseite: - Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals113
Publisher: Elsevier