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Journal Article

Spatio-temporal changes in the causal interactions among sustainable development goals in china

Authors

Chen,  Min
External Organizations;

Cao,  Min
External Organizations;

Zhang,  Junze
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/prajal.pradhan

Pradhan,  Prajal
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Guo,  Huadong
External Organizations;

Fu,  Bojie
External Organizations;

Li,  Yue
External Organizations;

Bai,  Yuying
External Organizations;

Chang,  Lijiao
External Organizations;

Chen,  Yu
External Organizations;

Sun,  Zhongchang
External Organizations;

Meadows,  Michael
External Organizations;

Xu,  Zhenci
External Organizations;

Zhu,  Rui
External Organizations;

Wu,  Kai
External Organizations;

Lü ,  Guonian
External Organizations;

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Fulltext (public)

28652oa.pdf
(Publisher version), 3MB

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Citation

Chen, M., Cao, M., Zhang, J., Pradhan, P., Guo, H., Fu, B., Li, Y., Bai, Y., Chang, L., Chen, Y., Sun, Z., Meadows, M., Xu, Z., Zhu, R., Wu, K., Lü, G. (2023): Spatio-temporal changes in the causal interactions among sustainable development goals in china. - Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 10, 450.
https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-023-01952-z


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_28652
Abstract
Extensive efforts have been dedicated to deciphering the interactions associated with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). However, these developments are hampered by a lack of efficient strategies to avoid beneficial synergies being offset by harmful trade-offs. To fill these gaps, we used causal diagnosis and network analysis methods to construct 1302 directed networks of SDGs for 31 provinces in China from 2000 to 2020. We observed a dramatic offsetting effect of SDG synergies and trade-offs in China from 2000 to 2020, with approximately 27% of trade-off indicator pairs turning into synergies and about 25% of the synergy indicator pairs turning into trade-offs. However, our findings suggested that prioritising the progress of high-frequency indicators in virtuous cycles could multiply the positive systemic effects of the SDGs. Moreover, controlling the transition from passive to active in the trade-off network of SDGs remains a challenge in advancing the SDGs holistically.