citation_keywords: Keywords: Dynamic baselines twitter:card: summary keywords: Keywords: Dynamic baselines; Shared socioeconomic pathways; GDP projections; Factor accumulation. citation_journal_title: Journal of Global Economic Analysis DC.Creator.PersonalName: Jean Foure DC.Source.URI: https://www.jgea.org/resources/jgea/ojs/index.php/jgea DC.Date.dateSubmitted: 2019-09-18 citation_issn: 2377-2999 DC.Date.created: 2020-06-25 dc:title: Macroeconomic Drivers of Baseline Scenarios in Dynamic CGE models: Review and Guidelines Proposal | Foure | Journal of Global Economic Analysis citation_language: en Content-Encoding: UTF-8 citation_pdf_url: https://www.jgea.org/resources/jgea/ojs/index.php/jgea/article/download/96/107 DC.Source.Issue: 1 citation_lastpage: 62 DC.Identifier: 96 DC.Rights: Copyright (c) 2020 citation_author: Jean Foure citation_abstract_html_url: https://www.jgea.org/resources/jgea/ojs/index.php/jgea/article/view/96 citation_issue: 1 DC.Identifier.pageNumber: 28-62 DC.Type.articleType: Advances in Methods and Theory citation_volume: 5 DC.Identifier.URI: https://www.jgea.org/resources/jgea/ojs/index.php/jgea/article/view/96 citation_author_institution: CEPII citation_title: Macroeconomic Drivers of Baseline Scenarios in Dynamic CGE models: Review and Guidelines Proposal DC.Type: Text.Serial.Journal description: Macroeconomic Drivers of Baseline Scenarios in Dynamic CGE models: Review and Guidelines Proposal DC.Contributor.Sponsor: citation_date: 2020/06/25 title: Macroeconomic Drivers of Baseline Scenarios in Dynamic CGE models: Review and Guidelines Proposal | Foure | Journal of Global Economic Analysis twitter:image: https://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/resources/jgea/ojs/public/site/images/gtapJournal/GTAP_Journal_Cover_Web.jpg DC.Description: For dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) modeling, long-term baseline construction is key and depends on the applied methods and the sources of projections considered. For dynamic CGE models, baseline assumptions and base data are both important determinants of results. This paper reviews the assumptions made by 24 modeling teams on baseline macroeconomic drivers, understood as factor accumulation and gross domestic product (GDP) growth. We critically review the various methods, identifying state-of-the-art practices and propose simple guidelines, particularly focusing on consistency between data sources and models, which is intended to help dynamic CGE modelers build their own baselines. twitter:site: @GTAP_Purdue Content-Type-Hint: text/html; charset=utf-8 DC.Format: application/pdf DC.Subject: Keywords: Dynamic baselines DC.Source.ISSN: 2377-2999 Content-Type: application/xhtml+xml; charset=UTF-8 X-Parsed-By: org.apache.tika.parser.DefaultParser twitter:title: Macroeconomic Drivers of Baseline Scenarios in Dynamic CGE models: Review and Guidelines Proposal DC.Date.modified: 2020-06-25 DC.Source.Volume: 5 DC.Title: Macroeconomic Drivers of Baseline Scenarios in Dynamic CGE models: Review and Guidelines Proposal citation_firstpage: 28 twitter:description: For dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) modeling, long-term baseline construction is key and depends on the applied methods and the sources of projections considered. For dynamic CGE models, baseline assumptions and base data are both important determinants of results. This paper reviews the assumptions made by 24 modeling teams on baseline macroeconomic drivers, understood as factor accumulation and gross domestic product (GDP) growth. We critically review the various methods, identifying state-of-the-art practices and propose simple guidelines, particularly focusing on consistency between data sources and models, which is intended to help dynamic CGE modelers build their own baselines. DC.Language: en DC.Source: Journal of Global Economic Analysis DC.Date.issued: 2020-06-25 gs_meta_revision: 1.1