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Short term association between ozone and mortality: global two stage time series study in 406 locations in 20 countries

Urheber*innen

Vicedo-Cabrera,  Ana M
External Organizations;

Sera,  Francesco
External Organizations;

Liu,  Cong
External Organizations;

Armstrong,  Ben
External Organizations;

Milojevic,  Ai
External Organizations;

Guo,  Yuming
External Organizations;

Tong,  Shilu
External Organizations;

Lavigne,  Eric
External Organizations;

Kyselý,  Jan
External Organizations;

Urban,  Aleš
External Organizations;

Orru,  Hans
External Organizations;

Indermitte,  Ene
External Organizations;

Pascal,  Mathilde
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/veronika.huber

Huber,  Veronika
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Schneider,  Alexandra
External Organizations;

Katsouyanni,  Klea
External Organizations;

Samoli,  Evangelia
External Organizations;

Stafoggia,  Massimo
External Organizations;

Scortichini,  Matteo
External Organizations;

Hashizume,  Masahiro
External Organizations;

Honda,  Yasushi
External Organizations;

Ng,  Chris Fook Sheng
External Organizations;

Hurtado-Diaz,  Magali
External Organizations;

Cruz,  Julio
External Organizations;

Silva,  Susana
External Organizations;

Madureira,  Joana
External Organizations;

Scovronick,  Noah
External Organizations;

Garland,  Rebecca M.
External Organizations;

Kim,  Ho
External Organizations;

Tobias,  Aurelio
External Organizations;

Íñiguez,  Carmen
External Organizations;

Forsberg,  Bertil
External Organizations;

Åström,  Christofer
External Organizations;

Ragettli,  Martina S
External Organizations;

Röösli,  Martin
External Organizations;

Guo,  Yue-Liang Leon
External Organizations;

Chen,  Bing-Yu
External Organizations;

Zanobetti,  Antonella
External Organizations;

Schwartz,  Joel
External Organizations;

Bell,  Michelle L
External Organizations;

Kan,  Haidong
External Organizations;

Gasparrini,  Antonio
External Organizations;

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Zitation

Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M., Sera, F., Liu, C., Armstrong, B., Milojevic, A., Guo, Y., Tong, S., Lavigne, E., Kyselý, J., Urban, A., Orru, H., Indermitte, E., Pascal, M., Huber, V., Schneider, A., Katsouyanni, K., Samoli, E., Stafoggia, M., Scortichini, M., Hashizume, M., Honda, Y., Ng, C. F. S., Hurtado-Diaz, M., Cruz, J., Silva, S., Madureira, J., Scovronick, N., Garland, R. M., Kim, H., Tobias, A., Íñiguez, C., Forsberg, B., Åström, C., Ragettli, M. S., Röösli, M., Guo, Y.-L.-L., Chen, B.-Y., Zanobetti, A., Schwartz, J., Bell, M. L., Kan, H., Gasparrini, A. (2020): Short term association between ozone and mortality: global two stage time series study in 406 locations in 20 countries. - BMJ: British Medical Journal, 368, m108.
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m108


Zitierlink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_25236
Zusammenfassung
A total of 45 165 171 deaths were analysed in the 406 cities. On average, a 10 µg/m3 increase in ozone during the current and previous day was associated with an overall relative risk of mortality of 1.0018 (95% confidence interval 1.0012 to 1.0024). Some heterogeneity was found across countries, with estimates ranging from greater than 1.0020 in the United Kingdom, South Africa, Estonia, and Canada to less than 1.0008 in Mexico and Spain. Short term excess mortality in association with exposure to ozone higher than maximum background levels (70 µg/m3) was 0.26% (95% confidence interval 0.24% to 0.28%), corresponding to 8203 annual excess deaths (95% confidence interval 3525 to 12 840) across the 406 cities studied. The excess remained at 0.20% (0.18% to 0.22%) when restricting to days above the WHO guideline (100 µg/m3), corresponding to 6262 annual excess deaths (1413 to 11 065). Above more lenient thresholds for air quality standards in Europe, America, and China, excess mortality was 0.14%, 0.09%, and 0.05%, respectively. Conclusions: Results suggest that ozone related mortality could be potentially reduced under stricter air quality standards. These findings have relevance for the implementation of efficient clean air interventions and mitigation strategies designed within national and international climate policies.