date: 2024-07-31T10:48:49Z
pdf:PDFVersion: 1.7
pdf:docinfo:title: Challenges to Viticulture in Montenegro under Climate Change
xmp:CreatorTool: LaTeX with hyperref
Keywords: grapevine; winegrowing; bioclimatic indices; Shared Socioeconomic Pathways; projections; climate impacts; adaptation; Montenegrin viticulture; Western Balkans; CHELSA
access_permission:modify_annotations: true
access_permission:can_print_degraded: true
subject: The Montenegrin climate is characterised as very heterogeneous due to its complex topography. The viticultural heritage, dating back to before the Roman empire, is settled in a Mediterranean climate region, located south of the capital Podgorica, where climate conditions favour red wine production. However, an overall increase in warmer and drier periods affects traditional viticulture. The present study aims to discuss climate change impacts on Montenegrin viticulture. Bioclimatic indices, ensembled from five climate models, were analysed for both historical (1981?2010) and future (2041?2070) periods upon three socio-economic pathways: SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5. CHELSA (1 km) was the selected dataset for this analysis. Obtained results for all scenarios have shown the suppression of baseline conditions for viticulture. The average summer temperature might reach around 29.5 C, and the growing season average temperature could become higher than 23.5 C, advancing phenological events. The Winkler index is estimated to range from 2900 C up to 3100 C, which is too hot for viticulture. Montenegrin viticulture requires the application of adaptation measures focused on reducing temperature-increase impacts. The implementation of adaptation measures shall start in the coming years, to assure the lasting productivity and sustainability of viticulture.
dc:creator: António Fernandes, Nata?a Kova?, Hélder Fraga, André Fonseca, Sanja ?u?ur Radonji?, Marko Simeunovi?, Kruna Ratkovi?, Christoph Menz, Sergi Costafreda-Aumedes and João A. Santos
dcterms:created: 2024-07-31T10:27:53Z
Last-Modified: 2024-07-31T10:48:49Z
dcterms:modified: 2024-07-31T10:48:49Z
dc:format: application/pdf; version=1.7
title: Challenges to Viticulture in Montenegro under Climate Change
Last-Save-Date: 2024-07-31T10:48:49Z
pdf:docinfo:creator_tool: LaTeX with hyperref
access_permission:fill_in_form: true
pdf:docinfo:keywords: grapevine; winegrowing; bioclimatic indices; Shared Socioeconomic Pathways; projections; climate impacts; adaptation; Montenegrin viticulture; Western Balkans; CHELSA
pdf:docinfo:modified: 2024-07-31T10:48:49Z
meta:save-date: 2024-07-31T10:48:49Z
pdf:encrypted: false
dc:title: Challenges to Viticulture in Montenegro under Climate Change
modified: 2024-07-31T10:48:49Z
cp:subject: The Montenegrin climate is characterised as very heterogeneous due to its complex topography. The viticultural heritage, dating back to before the Roman empire, is settled in a Mediterranean climate region, located south of the capital Podgorica, where climate conditions favour red wine production. However, an overall increase in warmer and drier periods affects traditional viticulture. The present study aims to discuss climate change impacts on Montenegrin viticulture. Bioclimatic indices, ensembled from five climate models, were analysed for both historical (1981?2010) and future (2041?2070) periods upon three socio-economic pathways: SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5. CHELSA (1 km) was the selected dataset for this analysis. Obtained results for all scenarios have shown the suppression of baseline conditions for viticulture. The average summer temperature might reach around 29.5 C, and the growing season average temperature could become higher than 23.5 C, advancing phenological events. The Winkler index is estimated to range from 2900 C up to 3100 C, which is too hot for viticulture. Montenegrin viticulture requires the application of adaptation measures focused on reducing temperature-increase impacts. The implementation of adaptation measures shall start in the coming years, to assure the lasting productivity and sustainability of viticulture.
pdf:docinfo:subject: The Montenegrin climate is characterised as very heterogeneous due to its complex topography. The viticultural heritage, dating back to before the Roman empire, is settled in a Mediterranean climate region, located south of the capital Podgorica, where climate conditions favour red wine production. However, an overall increase in warmer and drier periods affects traditional viticulture. The present study aims to discuss climate change impacts on Montenegrin viticulture. Bioclimatic indices, ensembled from five climate models, were analysed for both historical (1981?2010) and future (2041?2070) periods upon three socio-economic pathways: SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5. CHELSA (1 km) was the selected dataset for this analysis. Obtained results for all scenarios have shown the suppression of baseline conditions for viticulture. The average summer temperature might reach around 29.5 C, and the growing season average temperature could become higher than 23.5 C, advancing phenological events. The Winkler index is estimated to range from 2900 C up to 3100 C, which is too hot for viticulture. Montenegrin viticulture requires the application of adaptation measures focused on reducing temperature-increase impacts. The implementation of adaptation measures shall start in the coming years, to assure the lasting productivity and sustainability of viticulture.
Content-Type: application/pdf
pdf:docinfo:creator: António Fernandes, Nata?a Kova?, Hélder Fraga, André Fonseca, Sanja ?u?ur Radonji?, Marko Simeunovi?, Kruna Ratkovi?, Christoph Menz, Sergi Costafreda-Aumedes and João A. Santos
X-Parsed-By: org.apache.tika.parser.DefaultParser
creator: António Fernandes, Nata?a Kova?, Hélder Fraga, André Fonseca, Sanja ?u?ur Radonji?, Marko Simeunovi?, Kruna Ratkovi?, Christoph Menz, Sergi Costafreda-Aumedes and João A. Santos
meta:author: António Fernandes, Nata?a Kova?, Hélder Fraga, André Fonseca, Sanja ?u?ur Radonji?, Marko Simeunovi?, Kruna Ratkovi?, Christoph Menz, Sergi Costafreda-Aumedes and João A. Santos
dc:subject: grapevine; winegrowing; bioclimatic indices; Shared Socioeconomic Pathways; projections; climate impacts; adaptation; Montenegrin viticulture; Western Balkans; CHELSA
meta:creation-date: 2024-07-31T10:27:53Z
created: Wed Jul 31 12:27:53 CEST 2024
access_permission:extract_for_accessibility: true
access_permission:assemble_document: true
xmpTPg:NPages: 28
Creation-Date: 2024-07-31T10:27:53Z
access_permission:extract_content: true
access_permission:can_print: true
meta:keyword: grapevine; winegrowing; bioclimatic indices; Shared Socioeconomic Pathways; projections; climate impacts; adaptation; Montenegrin viticulture; Western Balkans; CHELSA
Author: António Fernandes, Nata?a Kova?, Hélder Fraga, André Fonseca, Sanja ?u?ur Radonji?, Marko Simeunovi?, Kruna Ratkovi?, Christoph Menz, Sergi Costafreda-Aumedes and João A. Santos
producer: pdfTeX-1.40.25
access_permission:can_modify: true
pdf:docinfo:producer: pdfTeX-1.40.25
pdf:docinfo:created: 2024-07-31T10:27:53Z