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Most Recently Released Items

Tipping point detection and early warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems

Dakos, Vasilis; Boulton, Chris A.; Buxton, Josh E.; Abrams, Jesse F. ...

2024-09-13

Tipping points characterize the situation when a system experiences abrupt, rapid, and sometimes irreversible changes in response to only a gradual c...

Fire weather compromises forestation-reliant climate mitigation pathways

Jäger, Felix; Schwaab, Jonas; Quilcaille, Yann; Windisch, Michael G. ...

2024-09-13

Forestation can contribute to climate change mitigation. However, increasing frequency and intensity of climate extremes are posed to have profound i...

Evaluation of the real-time El Niño forecasts by the climate network approach between 2011 and present

Bunde, Armin; Ludescher, Josef; Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

2024-09-13

El Niño episodes are part of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which is the strongest driver of interannual climate variability, and can trigg...

Frequency Bias Causes Overestimation of Climate Change Impacts on Global Flood Occurrence

Zhao, Fang; Lange, Stefan; Goswami, Bedartha; Frieler, Katja

2024-09-13

The frequency change of 100-year flood events is often determined by fitting extreme value distributions to annual maximum discharge from a historica...