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  Key challenges and priorities for modelling European grasslands under climate change

Kipling, R. P., Virkajärvi, P., Breitsameter, L., Curnel, Y., De Swaef, T., Gustavsson, A.-M., Hennart, S., Höglind, M., Järvenranta, K., Minet, J., Nendel, C., Persson, T., Picon-Cochard, C., Rolinski, S., Sandars, D. L., Scollan, N. D., Sebek, L., Seddaiu, G., Topp, C. F. E., Twardy, S., Middelkoop, J. V., Wu, L., Bellocchi, G. (2016): Key challenges and priorities for modelling European grasslands under climate change. - Science of the Total Environment, 566-567, 851-864.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.05.144

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Kipling, R. P.1, Autor
Virkajärvi, P.1, Autor
Breitsameter, L.1, Autor
Curnel, Y.1, Autor
De Swaef, T.1, Autor
Gustavsson, A.-M.1, Autor
Hennart, S.1, Autor
Höglind, M.1, Autor
Järvenranta, K.1, Autor
Minet, J.1, Autor
Nendel, C.1, Autor
Persson, T.1, Autor
Picon-Cochard, C.1, Autor
Rolinski, Susanne2, Autor              
Sandars, D. L.1, Autor
Scollan, N. D.1, Autor
Sebek, L.1, Autor
Seddaiu, G.1, Autor
Topp, C. F. E.1, Autor
Twardy, S.1, Autor
Middelkoop, J. Van1, AutorWu, L.1, AutorBellocchi, G.1, Autor mehr..
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Zusammenfassung: Grassland-based ruminant production systems are integral to sustainable food production in Europe, converting plant materials indigestible to humans into nutritious food, while providing a range of environmental and cultural benefits. Climate change poses significant challenges for such systems, their productivity and the wider benefits they supply. In this context, grassland models have an important role in predicting and understanding the impacts of climate change on grassland systems, and assessing the efficacy of potential adaptation and mitigation strategies. In order to identify the key challenges for European grassland modelling under climate change, modellers and researchers from across Europe were consulted via workshop and questionnaire. Participants identified fifteen challenges and considered the current state of modelling and priorities for future research in relation to each. A review of literature was undertaken to corroborate and enrich the information provided during the horizon scanning activities. Challenges were in four categories relating to: 1) the direct and indirect effects of climate change on the sward 2) climate change effects on grassland systems outputs 3) mediation of climate change impacts by site, system and management and 4) cross-cutting methodological issues. While research priorities differed between challenges, an underlying theme was the need for accessible, shared inventories of models, approaches and data, as a resource for stakeholders and to stimulate new research. Developing grassland models to effectively support efforts to tackle climate change impacts, while increasing productivity and enhancing ecosystem services, will require engagement with stakeholders and policy-makers, as well as modellers and experimental researchers across many disciplines. The challenges and priorities identified are intended to be a resource 1) for grassland modellers and experimental researchers, to stimulate the development of new research directions and collaborative opportunities, and 2) for policy-makers involved in shaping the research agenda for European grassland modelling under climate change.

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 Datum: 2016
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
 Seiten: -
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.05.144
PIKDOMAIN: Climate Impacts & Vulnerabilities - Research Domain II
eDoc: 7250
Research topic keyword: Food & Agriculture
Research topic keyword: Land use
Research topic keyword: Ecosystems
Model / method: Model Intercomparison
Model / method: Qualitative Methods
Regional keyword: Europe
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Working Group: Land Use and Resilience
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Titel: Science of the Total Environment
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 566-567 Artikelnummer: - Start- / Endseite: 851 - 864 Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals444