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  Threat of low-frequency high-intensity floods to global cropland and crop yields

Han, J., Zhang, Z., Xu, J., Chen, Y., Jägermeyr, J., Cao, J., Luo, Y., Cheng, F., Zhuang, H., Wu, H., Mei, Q., Song, J., Tao, F. (2024): Threat of low-frequency high-intensity floods to global cropland and crop yields. - Nature Sustainability, 7, 994-1006.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-024-01375-x

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 Urheber:
Han, Jichong1, Autor
Zhang, Zhao1, Autor
Xu, Jialu1, Autor
Chen, Yi1, Autor
Jägermeyr, Jonas2, Autor              
Cao, Juan1, Autor
Luo, Yuchuan1, Autor
Cheng, Fei1, Autor
Zhuang, Huimin1, Autor
Wu, Huaqing1, Autor
Mei, Qinghang1, Autor
Song, Jie1, Autor
Tao, Fulu1, Autor
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Zusammenfassung: Flood hazards pose a significant threat to agricultural production. Agricultural adaptations tend to be prevalent and systematic in high-frequency flood (HFF) areas but neglected in low-frequency flood (LFF) areas. Here, using satellite imagery, we map global spatial distributions of LFF and HFF at 250 m resolution for 3,427 flood events between 2000 and 2021. We show that LFF affected a larger proportion of cropland area (4.7%) than HFF (1.2%), and HFF occurred in smaller regions with less intensity. Cropland expansion between 2000 and 2019 increased the area affected by LFF (3.1 × 104 km2) more than that affected by HFF (1.3 × 104 km2). Moreover, the mean yield losses of wheat and rice from LFF were greater than those from HFF, owing to the higher precipitation anomalies, soil moisture anomalies and greater crop flooding during their growing seasons. Our findings highlight the urgency of this issue and identify priority areas to prevent these neglected low-frequency but high-impact floods, providing valuable information for developing flood-adapted policy.

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Sprache(n): eng - Englisch
 Datum: 2023-08-022024-05-152024-06-242024-08-01
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
 Seiten: 16
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01375-x
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Working Group: Land Use and Resilience
Research topic keyword: Food & Agriculture
Regional keyword: Global
Research topic keyword: Weather
Research topic keyword: Climate impacts
Research topic keyword: Land use
Research topic keyword: Adaptation
Research topic keyword: Freshwater
MDB-ID: No data to archive
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Titel: Nature Sustainability
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus
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Seiten: - Band / Heft: 7 Artikelnummer: - Start- / Endseite: 994 - 1006 Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/nature-sustainability
Publisher: Nature