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  Rapidly evolving aerosol emissions are a dangerous omission from near-term climate risk assessments

Persad, G., Samset, B. H., Wilcox, L. J., Allen, R. J., Bollasina, M. A., Booth, B. B. B., Bonfils, C., Crocker, T., Joshi, M., Lund, M. T., Marvel, K., Merikanto, J., Nordling, K., Undorf, S., van Vuuren, D. P., Westervelt, D. M., Zhao, A. (2023): Rapidly evolving aerosol emissions are a dangerous omission from near-term climate risk assessments. - Environmental Research: Climate, 2, 032001.
https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/acd6af

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Persad, G.1, Autor
Samset, B. H.1, Autor
Wilcox, L. J.1, Autor
Allen, Robert J.1, Autor
Bollasina, Massimo A.1, Autor
Booth, Ben B. B.1, Autor
Bonfils, Céline1, Autor
Crocker, Tom1, Autor
Joshi, Manoj1, Autor
Lund, Marianne T.1, Autor
Marvel, Kate1, Autor
Merikanto, Joonas1, Autor
Nordling, Kalle1, Autor
Undorf, Sabine2, Autor              
van Vuuren, Detlef P.1, Autor
Westervelt, Daniel M.1, Autor
Zhao, Alcide1, Autor
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Zusammenfassung: Anthropogenic aerosol emissions are expected to change rapidly over the coming decades, driving strong, spatially complex trends in temperature, hydroclimate, and extreme events both near and far from emission sources. Under-resourced, highly populated regions often bear the brunt of aerosols' climate and air quality effects, amplifying risk through heightened exposure and vulnerability. However, many policy-facing evaluations of near-term climate risk, including those in the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment report, underrepresent aerosols' complex and regionally diverse climate effects, reducing them to a globally averaged offset to greenhouse gas warming. We argue that this constitutes a major missing element in society's ability to prepare for future climate change. We outline a pathway towards progress and call for greater interaction between the aerosol research, impact modeling, scenario development, and risk assessment communities.

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Sprache(n): eng - Englisch
 Datum: 2022-10-212023-05-182023-06-062023-06-06
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
 Seiten: 12
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/acd6af
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Working Group: Adaptation in Agricultural Systems
MDB-ID: No data to archive
Regional keyword: Global
Research topic keyword: Adaptation
Research topic keyword: Atmosphere
Research topic keyword: Climate impacts
Research topic keyword: Extremes
Research topic keyword: Monsoon
Research topic keyword: Policy Advice
Model / method: Model Intercomparison
Model / method: Qualitative Methods
Model / method: Quantitative Methods
Model / method: Transfer (Knowledge&Technology)
OATYPE: Gold Open Access
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Titel: Environmental Research: Climate
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, other, oa
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Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 2 Artikelnummer: 032001 Start- / Endseite: - Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/2752-5295
Publisher: IOP Publishing