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  Attributing agnostically detected large reductions in road CO2 emissions to policy mixes

Koch, N., Naumann, L., Pretis, F., Ritter, N., Schwarz, M. (2022): Attributing agnostically detected large reductions in road CO2 emissions to policy mixes. - Nature Energy, 7, 844-853.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-022-01095-6

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Datensatz-Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_30695 Versions-Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_30695_2
Genre: Zeitschriftenartikel

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Koch, Nicolas1, Autor              
Naumann, Lennard2, Autor
Pretis, Felix2, Autor
Ritter, Nolan1, Autor              
Schwarz, Moritz2, Autor
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Zusammenfassung: Policymakers combine many different policy tools to achieve emission reductions. However, there remains substantial uncertainty around which mixes of policies are effective. This uncertainty stems from the predominant focus of ex post policy evaluation on isolating effects of single, known policies. Here we introduce an approach to identify effective policy interventions in the EU road transport sector by detecting treatment effects as structural breaks in CO2 emissions that can potentially occur in any country at any point in time from any number of a priori unknown policies. This search for ‘causes of effects’ within a statistical framework allows us to draw systematic inference on the effectiveness of policy mixes. We detect ten successful policy interventions that reduced emissions between 8% and 26%. The most successful policy mixes combine carbon or fuel taxes with green vehicle incentives and highlight that emissions reductions on a magnitude that matches the EU zero emission targets are possible.

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Sprache(n): eng - Englisch
 Datum: 2022-08-222022-09-01
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
 Seiten: -
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1038/s41560-022-01095-6
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
PIKDOMAIN: RD5 - Climate Economics and Policy - MCC Berlin
Organisational keyword: RD5 - Climate Economics and Policy - MCC Berlin
Working Group: Sustainable Carbon Management
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Titel: Nature Energy
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus
 Urheber:
Affiliations:
Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 7 Artikelnummer: - Start- / Endseite: 844 - 853 Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/nature-energy
Publisher: Nature