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  Technology availability, sector policies and behavioral change are complementary strategies for achieving net-zero emissions

Strefler, J., Merfort, L., Bauer, N., Stevanović, M., Tänzler, D., Humpenöder, F., Klein, D., Luderer, G., Pehl, M., Pietzcker, R. C., Popp, A., Rodrigues, R., Rottoli, M., Kriegler, E. (2024): Technology availability, sector policies and behavioral change are complementary strategies for achieving net-zero emissions. - Nature Communications, 15, 8440.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-52424-0

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Item Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_30366 Version Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_30366_3
Genre: Journal Article

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https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10552787 (Supplementary material)
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 Creators:
Strefler, Jessica1, Author              
Merfort, Leon1, Author              
Bauer, Nicolas1, Author              
Stevanović, Miodrag1, Author              
Tänzler, Dennis2, Author
Humpenöder, Florian1, Author              
Klein, David1, Author              
Luderer, Gunnar1, Author              
Pehl, Michaja1, Author              
Pietzcker, Robert C.1, Author              
Popp, Alexander1, Author              
Rodrigues, Renato1, Author              
Rottoli, Marianna1, Author              
Kriegler, Elmar1, Author              
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Abstract: In this study, we analyze the effects of technology availability, political coor- dination, and behavioral change on transformation pathways toward net-zero greenhouse gas emissions in the European Union by 2050. We implemented an iterative stakeholder dialogue to co-design the scenarios that were calculated using a global multi-regional energy-economy-land-climate model. We find that in scenarios without behavioral change and with restriction of technolo- gies, the target of greenhouse gas neutrality in the European Union cannot be reached. Already a target of 200 Mt CO2eq/yr requires CO2 prices above 100 €/tCO2 in 2030 across all sectors in all scenarios. The required CO2 price can increase to up to 450 €/tCO2 by 2030 if technologies are constrained, if no complementary regulatory measures are implemented, and if changes in consumer behavior towards a more sustainable lifestyle do not materialize

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2024-01-312024-09-052024-09-302024-09-30
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: 10
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-52424-0
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Working Group: Energy Systems
Working Group: Land-Use Management
MDB-ID: No MDB - stored outside PIK (see locators/paper)
Model / method: REMIND
Model / method: MAgPIE
Regional keyword: Europe
Research topic keyword: Mitigation
Research topic keyword: Climate Policy
Research topic keyword: Economics
Research topic keyword: Land use
Research topic keyword: Carbon Pricing
Research topic keyword: 1.5/2°C limit
OATYPE: Gold - DEAL Springer Nature
 Degree: -

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Project name : NAVIGATE
Grant ID : 82112456
Funding program : Horizon 2020 (H2020)
Funding organization : European Commission (EC)
Project name : ARIADNE
Grant ID : 03SFK5A
Funding program : -
Funding organization : Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BMBF)
Project name : Gefördert im Rahmen des Förderprogramms "Open Access Publikationskosten" durch die Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) - Projektnummer 491075472.
Grant ID : -
Funding program : Open-Access-Publikationskosten (491075472)
Funding organization : Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG)

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Title: Nature Communications
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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Affiliations:
Publ. Info: -
Pages: - Volume / Issue: 15 Sequence Number: 8440 Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals354
Publisher: Nature