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  Land use change and carbon emissions of a transformation to timber cities

Mishra, A., Humpenöder, F., Churkina, G., Reyer, C. P. O., Beier, F., Bodirsky, B. L., Schellnhuber, H. J., Lotze-Campen, H., Popp, A. (2022): Land use change and carbon emissions of a transformation to timber cities. - Nature Communications, 13, 4889.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32244-w

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Mishra, Abhijeet1, Autor              
Humpenöder, Florian1, Autor              
Churkina, Galina1, Autor              
Reyer, Christopher P. O.1, Autor              
Beier, Felicitas1, Autor              
Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon1, Autor              
Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim1, Autor              
Lotze-Campen, Hermann1, Autor              
Popp, Alexander1, Autor              
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, ou_persistent13              

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 Zusammenfassung: Using engineered wood for construction has been discussed for climate change mitigation. It remains unclear where and in which way the additional demand for wooden construction material shall be fulfilled. Here we assess the global and regional impacts of increased demand for engineered wood on land use and associated CO2 emissions until 2100 using an open-source land system model. We show that if 90% of the new urban population would be housed in newly built urban mid-rise buildings with wooden constructions, 106 Gt of additional CO2 could be saved by 2100. Forest plantations would need to expand by up to 149 Mha by 2100 and harvests from unprotected natural forests would increase. Our results indicate that expansion of timber plantations for wooden buildings is possible without major repercussions on agricultural production. Strong governance and careful planning are required to ensure a sustainable transition to timber cities even if frontier forests and biodiversity hotspots are protected.

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Sprache(n): eng - Englisch
 Datum: 2022-08-302022-08-30
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
 Seiten: 12
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-32244-w
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Working Group: Land-Use Management
Research topic keyword: Biodiversity
Research topic keyword: Cities
Research topic keyword: Decarbonization  
Research topic keyword: Food & Agriculture
Research topic keyword: Land use
Research topic keyword: Mitigation
Regional keyword: Global
Model / method: MAgPIE
Model / method: PIAM
Model / method: Quantitative Methods
MDB-ID: pending
OATYPE: Gold - DEAL Springer Nature
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Titel: Nature Communications
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 13 Artikelnummer: 4889 Start- / Endseite: - Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals354
Publisher: Springer Nature