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  Forest disturbances under climate change

Seidl, R., Thom, D., Kautz, M., Martin-Benito, D., Peltoniemi, M., Vacchiano, G., Wild, J., Ascoli, D., Petr, M., Honkaniemi, J., Lexer, M. J., Trotsiuk, V., Mairota, P., Svoboda, M., Fabrika, M., Nagel, T. A., Reyer, C. P. O. (2017): Forest disturbances under climate change. - Nature Climate Change, 7, 6, 395-402.
https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3303

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 Creators:
Seidl, R.1, Author
Thom, D.1, Author
Kautz, M.1, Author
Martin-Benito, D.1, Author
Peltoniemi, M.1, Author
Vacchiano, G.1, Author
Wild, J.1, Author
Ascoli, D.1, Author
Petr, M.1, Author
Honkaniemi, J.1, Author
Lexer, M. J.1, Author
Trotsiuk, V.1, Author
Mairota, P.1, Author
Svoboda, M.1, Author
Fabrika, M.1, Author
Nagel, T. A.1, Author
Reyer, Christopher P. O.2, Author              
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: Forest disturbances are sensitive to climate. However, our understanding of disturbance dynamics in response to climatic changes remains incomplete, particularly regarding large-scale patterns, interaction effects and dampening feedbacks. Here we provide a global synthesis of climate change effects on important abiotic (fire, drought, wind, snow and ice) and biotic (insects and pathogens) disturbance agents. Warmer and drier conditions particularly facilitate fire, drought and insect disturbances, while warmer and wetter conditions increase disturbances from wind and pathogens. Widespread interactions between agents are likely to amplify disturbances, while indirect climate effects such as vegetation changes can dampen long-term disturbance sensitivities to climate. Future changes in disturbance are likely to be most pronounced in coniferous forests and the boreal biome. We conclude that both ecosystems and society should be prepared for an increasingly disturbed future of forests.

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 Dates: 2017
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3303
PIKDOMAIN: Climate Impacts & Vulnerabilities - Research Domain II
eDoc: 7626
Research topic keyword: Climate impacts
Research topic keyword: Ecosystems
Research topic keyword: Extremes
Regional keyword: Global
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Working Group: Forest and Ecosystem Resilience
 Degree: -

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Title: Nature Climate Change
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 7 (6) Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 395 - 402 Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/140414