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  Climate change impacts on renewable energy supply

Gernaat, D. E., de Boer, H.-S., Daioglou, V., Yalew, S. G., Müller, C., van Vuuren, D. P. (2021): Climate change impacts on renewable energy supply. - Nature Climate Change, 11, 2, 119-125.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00949-9

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Item Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_24419 Version Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_24419_5
Genre: Journal Article

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 Creators:
Gernaat, David E.H.J.1, Author
de Boer, Harmen-Sytze1, Author
Daioglou, Vassilis1, Author
Yalew, Seleshi G.1, Author
Müller, Christoph2, Author              
van Vuuren, Detlef P.1, Author
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: Renewable energy resources, which depend on climate, may be susceptible to future climate change. Here we use climate and integrated assessment models to estimate this effect on key renewables. Future potential and costs are quantified across two warming scenarios for eight technologies: utility-scale and rooftop photovoltaic, concentrated solar power, onshore and offshore wind energy, first-generation and lignocellulosic bioenergy, and hydropower. The generated cost–supply curves are then used to estimate energy system impacts. In a baseline warming scenario, the largest impact is increased availability of bioenergy, though this depends on the strength of CO2 fertilization. Impacts on hydropower and wind energy are uncertain, with declines in some regions and increases in others, and impacts on solar power are minor. In a future mitigation scenario, these impacts are smaller, but the energy system response is similar to that in the baseline scenario given a larger reliance of the mitigation scenario on renewables.

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 Dates: 2020-08-242021-01-112021-02-15
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: MDB-ID: yes - 3006
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00949-9
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Research topic keyword: Energy
Research topic keyword: Land use
Research topic keyword: Climate impacts
Regional keyword: Global
Model / method: LPJmL
 Degree: -

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Title: Nature Climate Change
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 11 (2) Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 119 - 125 Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/140414
Publisher: Springer Nature