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  A network-based comparative study of extreme tropical and frontal storm rainfall over Japan

Öztürk, U., Malik, N., Cheung, K., Marwan, N., & Kurths, J. (2019). A network-based comparative study of extreme tropical and frontal storm rainfall over Japan. Climate Dynamics, 53(1-2), 521-532. doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4597-1.

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資料種別: 学術論文

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8487.pdf (出版社版), 5MB
 
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 作成者:
Öztürk, Ugur1, 著者              
Malik, N.2, 著者
Cheung, K.2, 著者
Marwan, Norbert1, 著者              
Kurths, Jürgen1, 著者              
所属:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 要旨: Frequent and intense rainfall events demand innovative techniques to better predict the extreme rainfall dynamics. This task requires essentially the assessment of the basic types of atmospheric processes that trigger extreme rainfall, and then to examine the differences between those processes, which may help to identify key patterns to improve predictive algorithms. We employ tools from network theory to compare the spatial features of extreme rainfall over the Japanese archipelago and surrounding areas caused by two atmospheric processes: the Baiu front, which occurs mainly in June and July (JJ), and the tropical storms from August to November (ASON). We infer from complex networks of satellite-derived rainfall data, which are based on the nonlinear correlation measure of event synchronization. We compare the spatial scales involved in both systems and identify different regions which receive rainfall due to the large spatial scale of the Baiu and tropical storm systems. We observed that the spatial scales involved in the Baiu driven rainfall extremes, including the synoptic processes behind the frontal development, are larger than tropical storms, which even have long tracks during extratropical transitions. We further delineate regions of coherent rainfall during the two seasons based on network communities, identifying the horizontal (east–west) rainfall bands during JJ over the Japanese archipelago, while during ASON these bands align with the island arc of Japan.

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 日付: 2019
 出版の状態: Finally published
 ページ: -
 出版情報: -
 目次: -
 査読: 査読あり
 識別子(DOI, ISBNなど): DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4597-1
PIKDOMAIN: RD4 - Complexity Science
eDoc: 8487
Research topic keyword: Complex Networks
Research topic keyword: Atmosphere
Research topic keyword: Extremes
Research topic keyword: Weather
Model / method: Nonlinear Data Analysis
Regional keyword: Asia
Organisational keyword: RD4 - Complexity Science
Working Group: Development of advanced time series analysis techniques
Working Group: Network- and machine-learning-based prediction of extreme events
 学位: -

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出版物 1

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出版物名: Climate Dynamics
種別: 学術雑誌, SCI, Scopus, p3
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出版社, 出版地: -
ページ: - 巻号: 53 (1-2) 通巻号: - 開始・終了ページ: 521 - 532 識別子(ISBN, ISSN, DOIなど): CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals77