English
 
Privacy Policy Disclaimer
  Advanced SearchBrowse

Item

ITEM ACTIONSEXPORT
  Uncertainty in climate change impacts on water resources

Kundzewicz, Z. W., Krysanova, V., Benestad, R. E., Hov, O., Piniewski, M., Otto, I. M. (2018): Uncertainty in climate change impacts on water resources. - Environmental Science and Policy, 79, 1-8.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2017.10.008

Item is

Files

show Files
hide Files
:
7910.pdf (Publisher version), 409KB
 
File Permalink:
-
Name:
7910.pdf
Description:
-
Visibility:
Private
MIME-Type / Checksum:
application/pdf
Technical Metadata:
Copyright Date:
-
Copyright Info:
-
License:
-

Locators

show

Creators

show
hide
 Creators:
Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W.1, Author              
Krysanova, Valentina1, Author              
Benestad, R. E.2, Author
Hov, O.2, Author
Piniewski, Mikolaj1, Author              
Otto, Ilona M.1, Author              
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

Content

show
hide
Free keywords: -
 Abstract: The uncertainty concepts play a prominent role in global environmental change research, including climate change science and climate change impact science, with hydrology and water resources research in particular. One is uncertain, to varying degrees, about virtually everything in the future as well as about much of the past and the present state. The present paper reviews applications of the uncertainty notion to results of change detection, process understanding and modeling of systems, and – foremost – projections of future climate change impacts on water resources. We present a framework of assessing and reducing uncertainty and propose measures that could improve uncertainty communication, e.g. relying on ensembles and multi-model probabilistic approaches rather than projecting ranges of values. We distinguish two possible management strategies if uncertainty is irreducible – the precautionary principle and the adaptive management.

Details

show
hide
Language(s):
 Dates: 2018
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2017.10.008
PIKDOMAIN: Climate Impacts & Vulnerabilities - Research Domain II
eDoc: 7910
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Research topic keyword: Freshwater
Working Group: Hydroclimatic Risks
 Degree: -

Event

show

Legal Case

show

Project information

show

Source 1

show
hide
Title: Environmental Science and Policy
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3
 Creator(s):
Affiliations:
Publ. Info: -
Pages: - Volume / Issue: 79 Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 1 - 8 Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals129