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  Adaptation required to preserve future high-end river flood risk at present levels

Willner, S., Levermann, A., Zhao, F., Frieler, K. (2018): Adaptation required to preserve future high-end river flood risk at present levels. - Science Advances, 4, 1, eaao1914.
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aao1914

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Willner, Sven1, Autor              
Levermann, Anders1, Autor              
Zhao, Fang1, Autor              
Frieler, Katja1, Autor              
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Zusammenfassung: Earth’s surface temperature will continue to rise for another 20 to 30 years even with the strongest carbon emission reduction currently considered. The associated changes in rainfall patterns can result in an increased flood risk worldwide. We compute the required increase in flood protection to keep high-end fluvial flood risk at present levels. The analysis is carried out worldwide for subnational administrative units. Most of the United States, Central Europe, and Northeast and West Africa, as well as large parts of India and Indonesia, require the strongest adaptation effort. More than half of the United States needs to at least double their protection within the next two decades. Thus, the need for adaptation to increased river flood is a global problem affecting industrialized regions as much as developing countries.

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 Datum: 2018
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
 Seiten: -
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
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 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aao1914
PIKDOMAIN: Sustainable Solutions - Research Domain III
PIKDOMAIN: Climate Impacts & Vulnerabilities - Research Domain II
eDoc: 7954
Research topic keyword: Adaptation
Research topic keyword: Extremes
Research topic keyword: Climate impacts
Model / method: Nonlinear Data Analysis
Regional keyword: Global
Organisational keyword: RD4 - Complexity Science
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Working Group: Data-Centric Modeling of Cross-Sectoral Impacts
Working Group: Numerical analysis of global economic impacts
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Titel: Science Advances
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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Seiten: - Band / Heft: 4 (1) Artikelnummer: eaao1914 Start- / Endseite: - Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/161027