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  The role of carbon capture and storage electricity in attaining 1.5 and 2 °C

Vinca, A., Rottoli, M., Marangoni, G., Tavoni, M. (2018): The role of carbon capture and storage electricity in attaining 1.5 and 2 °C. - International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, 78, 148-159.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijggc.2018.07.020

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Vinca, A.1, Author
Rottoli, Marianna2, Author              
Marangoni, G.1, Author
Tavoni, M.1, Author
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1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: The climate targets defined under the Paris agreement of limiting global temperature increase below 1.5 or 2 °C require massive deployment of low-carbon options in the energy mix, which is currently dominated by fossil fuels. Scenarios suggest that Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) might play a central role in this transformation, but CCS deployment is stagnating and doubts remain about its techno-economic feasibility. In this article, we carry out a throughout assessment of the role of CCS electricity for a variety of temperature targets, from 1.5 to above 4 °C, with particular attention to the lower end of this range. We collect the latest data on CCS economic and technological future prospects to accurately represent several types of CCS plants in the WITCH energy-economy model, We capture uncertainties by means of extensive sensitivity analysis in parameters regarding plants technical aspects, as well as costs and technological progress. Our research suggests that stringent temperature scenarios constrain fossil fuel CCS based deployment, which is maximum for medium policy targets. On the other hand, Biomass CCS, along with renewables, increases with the temperature stringency. Moreover, the relative importance of cost and performance parameters change with the climate target. Cost uncertainty matters in less stringent policy cases, whereas performance matters for lower temperature targets.

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 Dates: 2018
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: -
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 Rev. Type: -
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1016/j.ijggc.2018.07.020
PIKDOMAIN: Sustainable Solutions - Research Domain III
eDoc: 8184
Research topic keyword: CO2 Removal
Research topic keyword: 1.5/2°C limit
Research topic keyword: Energy
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Working Group: Energy Systems
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Title: International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 78 Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 148 - 159 Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals223