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  Investigating landscape phase transitions in Mediterranean rangelands by recurrence analysis

Zurlini, G., Marwan, N., Semeraro, T., Jones, K. B., Aretano, R., Pasimeni, M. R., Valente, D., Mulder, C., Petrosillo, I. (2018): Investigating landscape phase transitions in Mediterranean rangelands by recurrence analysis. - Landscape Ecology, 33, 9, 1617-1631.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-018-0693-1

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Zurlini, G.1, Autor
Marwan, Norbert2, Autor              
Semeraro, T.1, Autor
Jones, K. B.1, Autor
Aretano, R.1, Autor
Pasimeni, M. R.1, Autor
Valente, D.1, Autor
Mulder, C.1, Autor
Petrosillo, I.1, Autor
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Zusammenfassung: Context: Socio-ecological landscapes typically characterized by non-linear dynamics in space and time are difficult to be analyzed using standard quantitative methods, due to multiple processes interacting on different spatial and temporal scales. This poses a challenge to the identification of appropriate approaches for analyzing time series that can evaluate system properties of landscape dynamics in the face of disturbances, such as uncontrolled fires. Objective: The purpose is the application of non-linear methods such as recurrence quantification analysis (RQA) to landscape ecology. The examples concern the time series of burnt and unburnt Mediterranean rangelands, to highlight potential and limits of RQA. Methods: We used RQA together with joint recurrence analysis (JRA) to compare the evolutionary behavior of different land uses. Results: Time series of forests and grasslands in rangelands present both periodic and chaotic components with a rather similar behavior after the fire and clear transitions from less to more regular/predictable dynamics/succession. Results highlight the impacts of fire, the recovery capacity of land covers to pre-burnt levels, and the decay of synchronization towards the previous regime associated with vegetation secondary succession consistent with early successional species. Conclusions: RQA and JRA with their set of indices (recurrence rate: RR, laminarity: LAM, determinism: DET, and divergence: DIV) can represent new sensitive measures that may monitor the adaptive capacity and the resilience of landscapes. However, future applications are needed to standardize the analysis by strengthening the accuracy of this approach in describing the ongoing transformations of natural and man-managed landscapes.

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 Datum: 2018
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
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 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
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 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1007/s10980-018-0693-1
PIKDOMAIN: Transdisciplinary Concepts & Methods - Research Domain IV
eDoc: 8203
Research topic keyword: Nonlinear Dynamics
Research topic keyword: Ecosystems
Research topic keyword: Land use
Model / method: Nonlinear Data Analysis
Regional keyword: Europe
Organisational keyword: RD4 - Complexity Science
Working Group: Development of advanced time series analysis techniques
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Titel: Landscape Ecology
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus
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Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 33 (9) Artikelnummer: - Start- / Endseite: 1617 - 1631 Identifikator: Anderer: Springer Science+Business Media B.V
Anderer: Kluwer Academic Publishers
Anderer: 1572-9761
ISSN: 0921-2973
CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/landscape-ecology