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  Future tree survival in European forests depends on understorey tree diversity

Billing, M., Thonicke, K., Sakschewski, B., von Bloh, W., Walz, A. (2022): Future tree survival in European forests depends on understorey tree diversity. - Scientific Reports, 12, 20750.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-25319-7

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Billing, Maik1, Autor              
Thonicke, Kirsten1, Autor              
Sakschewski, Boris1, Autor              
von Bloh, Werner1, Autor              
Walz, Ariane2, Autor
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Zusammenfassung: Climate change heavily threatens forest ecosystems worldwide and there is urgent need to understand what controls tree survival and forests stability. There is evidence that biodiversity can enhance ecosystem stability (Loreau and de Mazancourt in Ecol Lett 16:106–115, 2013; McCann in Nature 405:228–233, 2000), however it remains largely unclear whether this also holds for climate change and what aspects of biodiversity might be most important. Here we apply machine learning to outputs of a flexible-trait Dynamic Global Vegetation Model to unravel the effects of enhanced functional tree trait diversity and its sub-components on climate-change resistance of temperate forests (http://www.pik-potsdam.de/~billing/video/Forest_Resistance_LPJmLFIT.mp4). We find that functional tree trait diversity enhances forest resistance. We explain this with 1. stronger complementarity effects (~ 25% importance) especially improving the survival of trees in the understorey of up to + 16.8% (± 1.6%) and 2. environmental and competitive filtering of trees better adapted to future climate (40–87% importance). We conclude that forests containing functionally diverse trees better resist and adapt to future conditions. In this context, we especially highlight the role of functionally diverse understorey trees as they provide the fundament for better survival of young trees and filtering of resistant tree individuals in the future.

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Sprache(n): eng - Englisch
 Datum: 2022-11-282022-12-012022-12-01
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
 Seiten: 12
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-25319-7
PIKDOMAIN: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
Organisational keyword: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
Research topic keyword: Biodiversity
Research topic keyword: Ecosystems
Research topic keyword: Forest
Regional keyword: Europe
Model / method: LPJmL
Research topic keyword: Adaptation
MDB-ID: yes - 3428
Working Group: Ecosystems in Transition
OATYPE: Gold - DEAL Springer Nature
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Titel: Scientific Reports
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus, p3, OA
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Seiten: - Band / Heft: 12 Artikelnummer: 20750 Start- / Endseite: - Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals2_395
Publisher: Nature