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  Assessing the impact of climate change on fluvial flood losses in urban areas: a case study of Pamplona (Spain)

Soriano, E., Schröter, K., Ullrich, S., Paprotny, D., Bagli, S., Sánchez, D. S., Cueto-Felgueroso, L., Mediero, L. (2023): Assessing the impact of climate change on fluvial flood losses in urban areas: a case study of Pamplona (Spain). - Hydrological Sciences Journal, 68, 13, 1769-1793.
https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2023.2246452

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 Creators:
Soriano, Enrique1, Author
Schröter, Kai1, Author
Ullrich, Sophie1, Author
Paprotny, Dominik2, Author              
Bagli, Stefano1, Author
Sánchez, David Santillán1, Author
Cueto-Felgueroso, Luis1, Author
Mediero, Luis1, Author
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and magnitude of flooding. Furthermore, in recent years, there has been an increase in city extent and population densities. This study considers the metropolitan area of Pamplona (Spain) as a case study. The delta changes in precipitation quantiles in the Arga River catchment, obtained from 12 climate models, have been transformed into peak flow delta changes using the Real-time Interactive Basin Simulator (RIBS) model. Also, three percentiles of flood quantile delta changes are selected. Water depths and flood extents expected in future flood events have been obtained using the two-dimensional Iber hydrodynamic model. The Safer_DAMAGE algorithm has been used to assess flood losses in urban areas at the building scale. The results show that flood losses are expected to be smaller for low return periods and greater for high return periods.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2022-04-222023-09-012023-09-01
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: 25
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Regional keyword: Europe
Working Group: Data-Centric Modeling of Cross-Sectoral Impacts
MDB-ID: pending
DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2023.2246452
 Degree: -

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Title: Hydrological Sciences Journal
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Publ. Info: -
Pages: - Volume / Issue: 68 (13) Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 1769 - 1793 Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals206
Publisher: Taylor & Francis