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  Food matters: Dietary shifts increase the feasibility of 1.5°C pathways in line with the Paris Agreement

Humpenöder, F., Popp, A., Merfort, L., Luderer, G., Weindl, I., Bodirsky, B. L., Stevanović, M., Rodrigues, R., Bauer, N., Dietrich, J. P., Lotze-Campen, H., Rockström, J. (in press): Food matters: Dietary shifts increase the feasibility of 1.5°C pathways in line with the Paris Agreement. - Science Advances.

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DietEnergyRevised2Update.pdf (beliebiger Volltext), 7MB
 
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DietEnergyRevised2Update.pdf
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https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8328217 (Ergänzendes Material)
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Data. This repository contains modelling results of a study conducted with the opensource Integrated Assessment Modelling (IAM) framework REMIND-MAgPIE (REMIND 3.2.0 and MAgPIE 4.6.7).
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Humpenöder, Florian1, Autor           
Popp, Alexander1, Autor           
Merfort, Leon1, Autor           
Luderer, Gunnar1, Autor           
Weindl, Isabelle1, Autor           
Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon1, Autor           
Stevanović, Miodrag1, Autor           
Rodrigues, Renato1, Autor           
Bauer, Nicolas1, Autor           
Dietrich, Jan Philipp1, Autor           
Lotze-Campen, Hermann1, Autor           
Rockström, Johan1, Autor           
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Zusammenfassung: A transition to healthy diets like the EAT-Lancet Planetary Health Diet could considerably reduce GHG emissions. However, the specific contributions of dietary shifts for the feasibility of 1.5°C pathways remain unclear. Here, we use the open-source Integrated Assessment Modeling (IAM) framework REMIND-MAgPIE to compare 1.5°C pathways with and without dietary shifts. We find that a flexitarian diet increases the feasibility of the Paris Agreement climate goals in different ways: The reduction of GHG emissions related to dietary shifts, especially methane from ruminant enteric fermentation, increases the 1.5°C-compatible carbon budget. Therefore, dietary shifts allow to achieve the same climate outcome with less carbon dioxide removal (CDR) and less stringent CO2 emission reductions in the energy system, which reduces pressure on GHG prices, energy prices and food expenditures.

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Sprache(n): eng - English
 Datum: 2024-02-21
 Publikationsstatus: Angenommen
 Seiten: 41
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Working Group: Land-Use Management
Working Group: Land Use and Resilience
MDB-ID: No MDB - stored outside PIK (see DOI)
Model / method: REMIND
Model / method: MAgPIE
Regional keyword: Global
Research topic keyword: Food & Agriculture
Research topic keyword: Decarbonization
Research topic keyword: 1.5/2°C limit
Research topic keyword: Land use
Research topic keyword: Energy
OATYPE: Gold Open Access
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Projektname : EAT-Lancet Commission 2.0 (EL2.0)
Grant ID : G-2208-02190
Förderprogramm : -
Förderorganisation : IKEA Foundation

Quelle 1

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Titel: Science Advances
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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Seiten: - Band / Heft: - Artikelnummer: - Start- / Endseite: - Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/161027