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  Predicting multiple observations in complex systems through low-dimensional embeddings

Wu, T., Gao, X., An, F., Sun, X., An, H., Su, Z., Gupta, S., Gao, J., Kurths, J. (2024): Predicting multiple observations in complex systems through low-dimensional embeddings. - Nature Communications, 15, 2242.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-46598-w

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 Urheber:
Wu, Tao1, Autor
Gao, Xiangyun1, Autor
An, Feng1, Autor
Sun, Xiaotian1, Autor
An, Haizhong1, Autor
Su, Zhen2, Autor              
Gupta, Shraddha2, Autor              
Gao, Jianxi1, Autor
Kurths, Jürgen2, Autor              
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Zusammenfassung: Forecasting all components in complex systems is an open and challenging task, possibly due to high dimensionality and undesirable predictors. We bridge this gap by proposing a data-driven and model-free framework, namely, feature-and-reconstructed manifold mapping (FRMM), which is a combination of feature embedding and delay embedding. For a high-dimensional dynamical system, FRMM finds its topologically equivalent manifolds with low dimensions from feature embedding and delay embedding and then sets the low-dimensional feature manifold as a generalized predictor to achieve predictions of all components. The substantial potential of FRMM is shown for both representative models and real-world data involving Indian monsoon, electroencephalogram (EEG) signals, foreign exchange market, and traffic speed in Los Angeles Country. FRMM overcomes the curse of dimensionality and finds a generalized predictor, and thus has potential for applications in many other real-world systems.

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Sprache(n): eng - Englisch
 Datum: 2024-03-122024-03-12
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
 Seiten: 12
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-46598-w
PIKDOMAIN: RD4 - Complexity Science
Organisational keyword: RD4 - Complexity Science
Research topic keyword: Nonlinear Dynamics
Model / method: Nonlinear Data Analysis
MDB-ID: No MDB - stored outside PIK (see locators/paper)
OATYPE: Gold Open Access
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Titel: Nature Communications
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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Seiten: - Band / Heft: 15 Artikelnummer: 2242 Start- / Endseite: - Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals354
Publisher: Nature