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  SAMSGL: Series-aligned multi-scale graph learning for spatiotemporal forecasting

Zou, X., Xiong, L., Tang, Y., Kurths, J. (2024): SAMSGL: Series-aligned multi-scale graph learning for spatiotemporal forecasting. - Chaos, 34, 6, 063140.
https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0211403

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 Creators:
Zou, Xiaobei1, Author
Xiong, Luolin1, Author
Tang, Yang1, Author
Kurths, Jürgen2, Author              
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: Spatiotemporal forecasting in various domains, like traffic prediction and weather forecasting, is a challenging endeavor, primarily due to the difficulties in modeling propagation dynamics and capturing high-dimensional interactions among nodes. Despite the significant strides made by graph-based networks in spatiotemporal forecasting, there remain two pivotal factors closely related to forecasting performance that need further consideration: time delays in propagation dynamics and multi-scale high-dimensional interactions. In this work, we present a Series-Aligned Multi-Scale Graph Learning (SAMSGL) framework, aiming to enhance forecasting performance. In order to handle time delays in spatial interactions, we propose a series-aligned graph convolution layer to facilitate the aggregation of non-delayed graph signals, thereby mitigating the influence of time delays for the improvement in accuracy. To understand global and local spatiotemporal interactions, we develop a spatiotemporal architecture via multi-scale graph learning, which encompasses two essential components: multi-scale graph structure learning and graph-fully connected (Graph-FC) blocks. The multi-scale graph structure learning includes a global graph structure to learn both delayed and non-delayed node embeddings, as well as a local one to learn node variations influenced by neighboring factors. The Graph-FC blocks synergistically fuse spatial and temporal information to boost prediction accuracy. To evaluate the performance of SAMSGL, we conduct experiments on meteorological and traffic forecasting datasets, which demonstrate its effectiveness and superiority.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2024-06-182024-06-18
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: 14
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: Organisational keyword: RD4 - Complexity Science
PIKDOMAIN: RD4 - Complexity Science
MDB-ID: No data to archive
DOI: 10.1063/5.0211403
 Degree: -

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Title: Chaos
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 34 (6) Sequence Number: 063140 Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/180808
Publisher: American Institute of Physics (AIP)