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  A multi-model assessment of inequality and climate change

Emmerling, J., Andreoni, P., Charalampidis, I., Dasgupta, S., Dennig, F., Feindt, S., Fragkiadakis, D., Fragkos, P., Fujimori, S., Gilli, M., Grottera, C., Guivarch, C., Kornek, U., Kriegler, E., Malerba, D., Marangoni, G., Méjean, A., Nijsse, F., Piontek, F., Simsek, Y., Sörgel, B., Taconet, N., Vandyck, T., Young-Brun, M., Zhao, S., Zheng, Y., Tavoni, M. (2024): A multi-model assessment of inequality and climate change. - Nature Climate Change, 14, 1254-1260.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02151-7

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Datensatz-Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_30541 Versions-Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_30541_4
Genre: Zeitschriftenartikel

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externe Referenz:
https://github.com/JohannesEmm/navigate_inequality_mip (Ergänzendes Material)
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 Urheber:
Emmerling, Johannes1, Autor
Andreoni, Pietro1, Autor
Charalampidis, Ioannis1, Autor
Dasgupta, Shouro1, Autor
Dennig, Francis1, Autor
Feindt, Simon2, Autor              
Fragkiadakis, Dimitris1, Autor
Fragkos, Panagiotis1, Autor
Fujimori, Shinichiro1, Autor
Gilli, Martino1, Autor
Grottera, Carolina1, Autor
Guivarch, Celine1, Autor
Kornek, Ulrike2, Autor              
Kriegler, Elmar2, Autor              
Malerba, Daniele1, Autor
Marangoni, Giacomo1, Autor
Méjean, Aurélie1, Autor
Nijsse, Femke1, Autor
Piontek, Franziska2, Autor              
Simsek, Yeliz1, Autor
Sörgel, Björn2, Autor              Taconet, Nicolas2, Autor              Vandyck, Toon1, AutorYoung-Brun, Marie1, AutorZhao, Shiya1, AutorZheng, Yu1, AutorTavoni, Massimo1, Autor mehr..
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Zusammenfassung: Climate change and inequality are critical and interrelated issues. Despite growing empirical evidence on the distributional implications of climate policies and climate risks, mainstream model-based assessments are often silent on the interplay between climate change and economic inequality. Here we fill this gap through an ensemble of eight large-scale integrated assessment models that belong to different economic paradigms and feature income heterogeneity. We quantify the distributional implications of climate impacts and of the varying compensation schemes of climate policies compatible with the goals of the Paris Agreement. By 2100, climate impacts will increase inequality by 1.4 points of the Gini index on average. Maintaining global mean temperature below 1.5 °C reduces long-term inequality increase by two-thirds but increases it slightly in the short term. However, equal per-capita redistribution can offset the short-term effect, lowering the Gini index by almost two points. We quantify model uncertainty and find robust evidence that well-designed policies can help stabilize climate and promote economic inclusion.

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Sprache(n): eng - Englisch
 Datum: 2024-01-162024-09-042024-10-042024-12-01
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
 Seiten: 12
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02151-7
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Working Group: Climate & Energy Policy
Working Group: Macroeconomic modeling of climate change mitigation and impacts
MDB-ID: No MDB - stored outside PIK (see locators/paper)
OATYPE: Hybrid Open Access
Model / method: Model Intercomparison
Regional keyword: Global
Research topic keyword: 1.5/2°C limit
Research topic keyword: Climate Policy
Research topic keyword: Economics
Research topic keyword: Mitigation
Research topic keyword: Climate impacts
PIKDOMAIN: RD5 - Climate Economics and Policy - MCC Berlin
Organisational keyword: RD5 - Climate Economics and Policy - MCC Berlin
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Projektinformation

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Projektname : NAVIGATE
Grant ID : 821124
Förderprogramm : Horizon 2020 (H2020)
Förderorganisation : European Commission (EC)
Projektname : PRISMA
Grant ID : 101081604
Förderprogramm : Horizon Europe (HE)
Förderorganisation : European Commission (EC)
Projektname : ECEMF
Grant ID : 101022622
Förderprogramm : Horizon Europe (HE)
Förderorganisation : European Commission (EC)

Quelle 1

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Titel: Nature Climate Change
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus, p3
 Urheber:
Affiliations:
Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 14 Artikelnummer: - Start- / Endseite: 1254 - 1260 Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/140414
Publisher: Nature