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  Improving the noise estimation of latent neural stochastic differential equations

Heck, L., Gelbrecht, M., Schaub, M. T., Boers, N. (2025): Improving the noise estimation of latent neural stochastic differential equations. - Chaos, 35, 6, 063139.
https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0257224

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https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14534737 (Supplementary material)
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This package contains all code and experiments from the paper.
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 Creators:
Heck, L.1, Author
Gelbrecht, Maximilian2, Author           
Schaub, M. T.1, Author
Boers, Niklas2, Author                 
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: Latent neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have recently emerged as a promising approach for learning generative models from stochastic time series data. However, they systematically underestimate the noise level inherent in such data, limiting their ability to capture stochastic dynamics accurately. We investigate this underestimation in detail and propose a straightforward solution; by including an explicit additional noise regularization in the loss function, we are able to learn a model that accurately captures the diffusion component of the data. We demonstrate our results on a conceptual model system that highlights the improved latent neural SDE’s capability to model stochastic bistable dynamics.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2025-06-082025-06-242025-06-24
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: 12
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1063/5.0257224
MDB-ID: No MDB - stored outside PIK (see locators/paper)
PIKDOMAIN: RD4 - Complexity Science
Organisational keyword: RD4 - Complexity Science
Working Group: Artificial Intelligence
Model / method: Machine Learning
Research topic keyword: Nonlinear Dynamics
Research topic keyword: Tipping Elements
Regional keyword: Global
OATYPE: Hybrid Open Access
 Degree: -

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Title: Chaos
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 35 (6) Sequence Number: 063139 Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/180808