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  Planetary boundaries under a land-based climate change mitigation scenario with a food demand transformation: a modelling study

Beier, F., Dietrich, J. P., Heinke, J., Abrahão, G. M., von Jeetze, P. J., Bodirsky, B. L., Crawford, M., Humpenöder, F., Merfort, L., Weindl, I., Herrero, M., Mason-D’Croz, D., Rockström, J., Sundiang, M., te Wierik, S., Norberg, A., Klein, D., Müller, C., Lotze-Campen, H., Popp, A. (2025 online): Planetary boundaries under a land-based climate change mitigation scenario with a food demand transformation: a modelling study. - The Lancet Planetary Health.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(25)00087-7

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PIIS2542519625000877.pdf (Publisher version), 618KB
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PIIS2542519625000877.pdf
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https://zenodo.org/records/14870633 (Research data)
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 Creators:
Beier, Felicitas1, 2, Author                 
Dietrich, Jan Philipp1, Author                 
Heinke, Jens1, Author                 
Abrahão, Gabriel Medeiros1, Author           
von Jeetze, Patrick José1, Author                 
Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon1, Author                 
Crawford, Michael1, Author           
Humpenöder, Florian1, Author                 
Merfort, Leon1, Author                 
Weindl, Isabelle1, Author                 
Herrero , Mario3, Author
Mason-D’Croz , Daniel3, Author
Rockström, Johan1, Author                 
Sundiang, Marina3, Author
te Wierik, Sofie1, Author                 
Norberg , Anna3, Author
Klein, David1, Author           
Müller, Christoph1, Author                 
Lotze-Campen, Hermann1, Author                 
Popp, Alexander1, Author                 
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2Submitting Corresponding Author, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_29970              
3External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Abstract: Ambitious climate change mitigation in all economic sectors is crucial for limiting global warming. Cost-effective mitigation pathways to keep global average temperature increases below 1·5°C by the end of the 21st century often rely on land-based greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reductions, increased land-based carbon uptake and biomass supply to other sectors (eg, energy and transport), and demand-side changes in the food system. To evaluate the broader sustainability of land-based climate change mitigation action, we evaluated synergies and trade-offs of individual and combined supply-side mitigation measures across five planetary boundaries. We also examined the role of a food demand transformation aligned with the dietary recommendations of the updated planetary health diet defined in the forthcoming EAT–Lancet Commission 2.0 report in shaping planetary boundary outcomes.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2025-07-08
 Publication Status: Published online
 Pages: 12
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(25)00087-7
Organisational keyword: Lab - Land Use Transition
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Organisational keyword: Director Rockström
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
PIKDOMAIN: Director / Executive Staff / Science & Society
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
PIKDOMAIN: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
Working Group: Terrestrial Safe Operating Space
Working Group: Integrated Assessment Modelling
Working Group: Research Software Engineering for Transformation Pathways
Working Group: Land Biosphere Dynamics
Model / method: MAgPIE
Model / method: REMIND
Model / method: PIAM
Model / method: LPJmL
Model / method: MAGICC
Model / method: MADRAT
Regional keyword: Global
Research topic keyword: Planetary Boundaries
Research topic keyword: Land use
Research topic keyword: Food & Agriculture
Research topic keyword: Mitigation
Research topic keyword: 1.5/2°C limit
Research topic keyword: Biodiversity
Research topic keyword: Climate Policy
Research topic keyword: Forest
Research topic keyword: Freshwater
MDB-ID: No MDB - stored outside PIK (see locators/paper)
OATYPE: Gold - DEAL Elsevier
 Degree: -

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Title: The Lancet Planetary Health
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, oa
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Affiliations:
Publ. Info: -
Pages: - Volume / Issue: - Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/lancet-planetary-health
Publisher: Elsevier
Publisher: The Lancet