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  Negative impacts of climate change on crop yields are underestimated

Nóia Júnior, R. d. S., Asseng, S., Müller, C., Deswarte, J.-C., Cohan, J.-P., Martre, P. (2025): Negative impacts of climate change on crop yields are underestimated. - Trends in Plant Science, 30, 11, 1262-1273.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tplants.2025.05.002

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Datensatz-Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_32748 Versions-Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_32748_2
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Nóia Júnior, Rogério de S.1, Autor
Asseng, Senthold1, Autor
Müller, Christoph2, Autor                 
Deswarte, Jean-Charles1, Autor
Cohan, Jean-Pierre1, Autor
Martre, Pierre1, Autor
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Zusammenfassung: Crop simulation models are routinely used to project the impacts of climate change on crop yields. However, such models perform poorly when simulating extreme historical events. We reviewed current crop models according to the processes they simulate. The review suggests the inability of most models to simulate several mechanisms of adverse climatic impacts on crops, such as those caused by heavy rain and waterlogging. Current crop models are therefore likely to increasingly underestimate climate impacts on crops if adverse climate conditions escalate in frequency and severity as expected. Improved modeling is crucial to accurately project crop yields and enhance the resilience of global food systems under extreme weather.

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Sprache(n): eng - English
 Datum: 2024-12-012025-05-062025-06-022025-11-01
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
 Seiten: 12
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1016/j.tplants.2025.05.002
MDB-ID: No data to archive
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Research topic keyword: Food & Agriculture
Working Group: Land Biosphere Dynamics
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Titel: Trends in Plant Science
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift
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Seiten: - Band / Heft: 30 (11) Artikelnummer: - Start- / Endseite: 1262 - 1273 Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/1878-4372
Publisher: Elsevier
Publisher: Cell Press