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  100 kyr ice age cycles as a timescale-matching problem

Mitsui, T., Ditlevsen, P., Boers, N., Crucifix, M. (2025): 100 kyr ice age cycles as a timescale-matching problem. - Earth System Dynamics, 16, 5, 1569-1584.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1569-2025

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 Creators:
Mitsui, Takahito1, Author
Ditlevsen, Peter1, Author
Boers, Niklas2, Author                 
Crucifix, Michel1, Author
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: The dominant period of the Late Pleistocene glacial–interglacial cycles is roughly 100 kyr, rather than other major astronomical periods such as 19, 23, 41, and 400 kyr. Various models explain this fact through distinct dynamical mechanisms, including synchronization of self-sustained oscillations and resonance in mono- or multi-stable systems. However, the diversity of proposed models and dynamical mechanisms may obscure the essential factor behind the emergence of the ∼100 kyr periodicity. We propose the hypothesis that the ice-sheet climate system responds to astronomical forcing at the ∼100 kyr periodicity because the intrinsic timescale of the system is closer to 100 kyr than to other major astronomical periods. We support this idea with analyses and sensitivity studies of several simple ice age models with contrasting mechanisms.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2025-09-262025-09-26
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: 16
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.5194/esd-16-1569-2025
MDB-ID: No MDB - stored outside PIK (see locators/paper)
PIKDOMAIN: RD4 - Complexity Science
Organisational keyword: RD4 - Complexity Science
Working Group: Artificial Intelligence
Research topic keyword: Paleoclimate
Model / method: Nonlinear Data Analysis
OATYPE: Gold Open Access
 Degree: -

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Title: Earth System Dynamics
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 16 (5) Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 1569 - 1584 Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/1402282
Publisher: Copernicus