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  copan:LPJmL: A new hybrid modelling framework for dynamic land use and agricultural management

Breier, J., Schwarz, L., Prawitz, H., von Bloh, W., Müller, C., Wirth, S. B., Bechthold, M., Gerten, D., Donges, J. F. (submitted): copan:LPJmL: A new hybrid modelling framework for dynamic land use and agricultural management.

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egusphere-2025-4475.pdf (Preprint), 17MB
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egusphere-2025-4475.pdf
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 Creators:
Breier, Jannes1, Author                 
Schwarz, Luana1, Author           
Prawitz, Hannah1, Author           
von Bloh, Werner1, Author                 
Müller, Christoph1, Author                 
Wirth, Stephen Björn1, Author           
Bechthold, Max1, Author                 
Gerten, Dieter1, Author                 
Donges, Jonathan Friedemann1, Author                 
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs) are established in environmental and agricultural sciences for many purposes, e.g., modelling plant growth and productivity, water and carbon cycles, and biosphere-climate interactions. Nevertheless, DGVMs are still rather limited in terms of simulating mutual interactions between biospheric and human processes. While DGVMs such as the Lund Potsdam Jena managed Land (LPJmL) model have been successfully connected to Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs), the model couplings often remain loose and static over the simulation period. The copan:LPJmL modelling framework is an extension of the copan:CORE framework for integrated and dynamic human-Earth system modelling, and addresses this issue by integrating LPJmL via a new interface, consisting of an LPJmL coupling library and a Python library pycoupler, which together enable LPJmL inputs and outputs to be coupled in copan:LPJmL during the simulation period. It uses the copan:CORE entities and integrates the coupled data into the World (simulation space as a whole) and the (grid) Cell entity, allowing other entities such as Individuals, e.g., for agent-based modelling (ABM), to access them. Besides ABM, this framework allows for a broad range of modelling approaches to be represented with copan:LPJmL, of which we introduce three examples: (1) The model of Integrated Social-Ecological Resilient Land Systems (InSEEDS), which uses a classical ABM approach to model management decisions by farmers, (2) an adaption of an established crop calendar model (Crop Calendar), and (3) a novel Large Language Model (LLM)-driven ABM approach (LLM Fertilization).

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2025-10-25
 Publication Status: Submitted
 Pages: 38
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: -
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2025-4475
PIKDOMAIN: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
PIKDOMAIN: Earth Resilience Science Unit - ERSU
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Organisational keyword: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
Organisational keyword: Earth Resilience Science Unit - ERSU
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Research topic keyword: Food & Agriculture
Research topic keyword: Land use
Research topic keyword: Nonlinear Dynamics
Research topic keyword: Sustainable Development
Research topic keyword: Adaptation
Regional keyword: Global
Model / method: Agent-based Models
Model / method: copan:CORE
Model / method: Decision Theory
Model / method: LPJmL
Model / method: Machine Learning
 Degree: -

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Title: Geoscientific Model Development Discussions (GMDD)
Source Genre: Journal, oa
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: - Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/1991-962X
Publisher: Copernicus