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  Identifying the safe operating space for food systems

te Wierik, S., DeClerck, F., Beusen, A., Gerten, D., Maggi, F., Norberg, A., Noone, K., Schulte-Uebbing, L., Springmann, M., Tang, F. H. M., de Vries, W., van Vuuren, D., Vermeulen, S., Rockström, J. (2025 online): Identifying the safe operating space for food systems. - Nature Food.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-025-01252-6

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https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15807875 (Research data)
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 Creators:
te Wierik, Sofie1, 2, Author                 
DeClerck, Fabrice3, Author
Beusen, Arthur3, Author
Gerten, Dieter1, Author                 
Maggi, Federico3, Author
Norberg, Anna1, Author                 
Noone, Kevin3, Author
Schulte-Uebbing, Lena3, Author
Springmann, Marco3, Author
Tang, Fiona H. M.3, Author
de Vries, Wim3, Author
van Vuuren, Detlef3, Author
Vermeulen, Sonja3, Author
Rockström, Johan1, Author                 
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2Submitting Corresponding Author, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_29970              
3External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Abstract: Global environmental pressures from food systems threaten biodiversity and the stability of the Earth system, yet the safe operating space for food systems is unknown. Here we calculate food system boundaries as shares of planetary boundaries, proposing budgets for the food system across nine boundaries. Our results indicate that food systems are a critical driver of planetary boundary transgressions, dominating at least four transgressed boundaries (that is, biosphere integrity, land system change, freshwater change and biogeochemical flows) while strongly contributing to the transgression of two more (that is, climate change and novel entities). Moreover, global food systems are currently beyond all nine food system boundaries; moving to the safe operating space requires reducing related greenhouse gas emissions substantially, halting the conversion of intact nature to agriculture, redistributing fertilizer inputs, limiting pesticide and antibiotic use, and preserving critical freshwater flows without negatively affecting yields.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2025-10-012025-10-31
 Publication Status: Published online
 Pages: 14
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1038/s43016-025-01252-6
PIKDOMAIN: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
Organisational keyword: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
PIKDOMAIN: Director / Executive Staff / Science & Society
Working Group: Terrestrial Safe Operating Space
MDB-ID: No MDB - stored outside PIK (see locators/paper)
OATYPE: Hybrid - Nature OA
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Title: Nature Food
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: - Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/nature-food
Publisher: Nature