NGFS long-term scenarios, narratives and key findings: Net Zero 2050, Current 
Policies and Fragmented World

Hayez, Léa; Lécuyer, Fabrice; George , Mel; Ju , Yiyi; Arora, Meghal; Stevanović, Miodrag; Anz, Jacob; Bertram, Christoph; Edmonds, Jae; Fawcett, Allen; Fuhrman, Jay; Luderer, Gunnar; Piontek, Franziska; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; van Ruijven, Bas; Zimmer , Anne; Kriegler, Elmar

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NGFS long-term scenarios, narratives and key findings: Net Zero 2050, Current Policies and Fragmented World

Hayez, L., Lécuyer, F., George, M., Ju, Y., Arora, M., Stevanović, M., Anz, J., Bertram, C., Edmonds, J., Fawcett, A., Fuhrman, J., Luderer, G., Piontek, F., Schleussner, C.-F., van Ruijven, B., Zimmer, A., Kriegler, E. (2025): NGFS long-term scenarios, narratives and key findings: Net Zero 2050, Current Policies and Fragmented World, Paris : Network for Greening the Financial System, 74 p.

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Item Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_33543 Version Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_33543_2

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https://www.ngfs.net/en/publications-and-statistics/publications/explanatory-notes-ngfs-long-term-climate-scenarios (Publisher version)

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Creators:
Hayez, Léa¹, Author
Lécuyer, Fabrice¹, Author
George , Mel², Author
Ju , Yiyi², Author
Arora, Meghal², Author
Stevanović, Miodrag¹, Author
Anz, Jacob², Author
Bertram, Christoph¹, Author
Edmonds, Jae², Author
Fawcett, Allen², Author
Fuhrman, Jay², Author
Luderer, Gunnar¹, Author
Piontek, Franziska¹, Author
Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich², Author
van Ruijven, Bas², Author
Zimmer , Anne², Author
Kriegler, Elmar¹, Author

Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22

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Abstract: In November 2024, the Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) published its fifth vintage of long-term scenarios, providing financial institutions with key information to assess and manage climate-related transition and physical risks. The scenarios stem from the integration of an ensemble of models including three Integrated Assessment Models (REMIND-MAgPIE, GCAM and MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM), the macroeconomic model NIGEM and climate-impact projection tools.
This report provides important context to NGFS scenariousers for the assessment of financial and macroeconomic risks associated with three of the NGFS scenarios: Net Zero 2050, Current Policies and Fragmented World. For these scenarios, the report describes the underlying narratives and selected quantitative features, including
model comparison.

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Language(s): eng - English

Dates: Published Online: 2025-11-01Finally published : 2025-11-01

Publication Status: Finally published

Pages: 74

Publishing info: Paris : Network for Greening the Financial System

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Identifiers: Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Working Group: Integrated Assessment Modelling
Organisational keyword: Lab - Energy Transition
Research topic keyword: Mitigation
Research topic keyword: Energy
Model / method: REMIND
Research topic keyword: Decarbonization
Regional keyword: Global

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