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  Rescuing 1.5ºC: New evidence on highest possible ambition to deliver the Paris Agreement

Grant, N., Forner, C., Geffray, M.-C., Hare, B., Khan, Z., Welder, L., Tsekeris, D., Gong, C. C., Lécuyer, F., Müßel, J., Luderer, G. (2025): Rescuing 1.5ºC: New evidence on highest possible ambition to deliver the Paris Agreement, Berlin, Potsdam : Climate Analytics; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), 66 p.

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???ViewItemFull_lblCiteItemAs???: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_33557 ???ViewItemFull_lblCiteItemVersionAs???: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_33557_2
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 ???ViewItemFull_lblCreators???:
Grant, Neil1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Forner, Claudio1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Geffray, Marie-Charlotte1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Hare, Bill1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Khan, Zarrar1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Welder, Lara1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Tsekeris, Dimitris1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Gong, Chen Chris2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
Lécuyer, Fabrice2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???           
Müßel, Jarusch2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
Luderer, Gunnar2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
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1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 ???ViewItemFull_lblAbstract???: Due to insufficient action in recent years, the world will very likely reach 1.5°C of warming by the early 2030s. This means the world is headed towards a period of overshoot of the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.
The high risks and damages of overshooting 1.5°C have been well established by the scientific community. Policy needs to now focus on limiting both the magnitude and duration of overshoot to bring warming back below 1.5°C before 2100.
Overshooting 1.5°C does not mean we need change the Paris Agreement’s goals, but rather double down on their implementation. 1.5°C was chosen for good reason. Ten years on from Paris, the science is starker than ever – 1.5°C is planetary limit beyond which climate impacts escalate and risk triggering catastrophic tipping points.
Legally, morally and politically, the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit stands. It now acts as a North Star, guiding ambition and action for the world to avoid long-term overshoot of 1.5ºC and the catastrophic impacts this would entail.
This new study shows how to limit the overshoot of 1.5°C to the lowest possible level and return warming back well below 1.5°C by 2100 by looking at the highest possible ambition that could be undertaken by countries, starting in 2025.

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???ViewItemFull_lblLanguages???: eng - English
 ???ViewItemFull_lblDates???: 2025-11-062025-11-06
 ???ViewItemFull_lblPublicationStatus???: ???ViewItem_lblPublicationState_published-in-print???
 ???ViewItemFull_lblPages???: 66
 ???ViewItemFull_lblPublishingInfo???: Berlin, Potsdam : Climate Analytics; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
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 ???ViewItemFull_lblIdentifiers???: ???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_ORGANISATIONALK???: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_PIKDOMAIN???: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_ORGANISATIONALK???: Lab - Energy Transition
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: 1.5/2°C limit
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Energy
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Mitigation
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Planetary Boundaries
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Climate impacts
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Climate Policy
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_MODELMETHOD???: REMIND
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_OATYPE???: Gold Open Access
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