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  A food system transformation pathway reconciles 1.5° global warming with improved health, environment and social inclusion

Bodirsky, B. L., Beier, F., Humpenöder, F., Leip, D., Crawford, M., Chen, D.-M.-C., von Jeetze, P. J., Springmann, M., Sörgel, B., Nicholls, Z., Strefler, J., Lewis, J., Heinke, J., Müller, C., Karstens, K., Weindl, I., Stevanović, M., Rein, P., Sauer, P., Mishra, A., Molina Bacca, E. J., Köberle, A., Wang, X., Singh, V., Hunecke, C., Collignon, Q., Schreinemachers, P., Dietz, S., Ravi, K., Dietrich, J. P., Lotze-Campen, H., Popp, A. (2025): A food system transformation pathway reconciles 1.5° global warming with improved health, environment and social inclusion. - Nature Food, 6, 1133-1152.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-025-01268-y

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s43016-025-01268-y.pdf (Publisher version), 12MB
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https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17233328 (Research data)
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 Creators:
Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon1, 2, Author                 
Beier, Felicitas1, Author                 
Humpenöder, Florian1, Author                 
Leip, Debbora1, Author                 
Crawford, Michael1, Author           
Chen, David Meng-Chuen1, Author           
von Jeetze, Patrick José1, Author                 
Springmann, Marco3, Author
Sörgel, Björn1, Author                 
Nicholls, Zebede3, Author
Strefler, Jessica1, Author           
Lewis, Jared3, Author
Heinke, Jens1, Author                 
Müller, Christoph1, Author                 
Karstens, Kristine1, Author                 
Weindl, Isabelle1, Author                 
Stevanović, Miodrag1, Author                 
Rein, Patrick1, Author                 
Sauer, Pascal1, Author                 
Mishra, Abhijeet1, Author                 
Molina Bacca, Edna J.1, Author                 Köberle, Alexandre1, Author           Wang, Xiaoxi1, Author                 Singh, Vartika1, Author           Hunecke, Claudia1, Author                 Collignon, Quitterie1, Author                 Schreinemachers, Pepijn3, AuthorDietz, Simon3, AuthorRavi, Kanbur3, AuthorDietrich, Jan Philipp1, Author                 Lotze-Campen, Hermann1, Author                 Popp, Alexander1, Author                  more..
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2Submitting Corresponding Author, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_29970              
3External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Abstract: The improvement of the global food system requires thorough understanding of how specific measures may contribute to the system’s transformation. Here, we apply a global food and land system modeling framework to quantify the impact of 23 food system measures on 15 outcome indicators related to public health, the environment, social inclusion, and the economy, up to 2050. While all individual measures come with trade-offs, their combination can reduce trade-offs and enhance co-benefits. We estimate that combining all food system measures may reduce yearly mortality by 182 million life years and almost halves nitrogen surplus while offsetting negative effects of environmental protection measures on absolute poverty. In joint effort with measures outside the food system, the 1.5°C climate target can be achieved.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2024-12-132025-11-042025-12-192025-12-19
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: 27
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: Organisational keyword: Lab - Land Use Transition
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Working Group: Integrated Assessment Modelling
Working Group: Land Biosphere Dynamics
Research topic keyword: 1.5/2°C limit
Research topic keyword: Economics
Research topic keyword: Ecosystems
Research topic keyword: Food & Agriculture
Research topic keyword: Land use
Research topic keyword: Planetary Boundaries
Research topic keyword: Sustainable Development
Regional keyword: Global
Model / method: PIAM
MDB-ID: No MDB - stored outside PIK (see locators/paper)
OATYPE: Hybrid - Nature OA
DOI: 10.1038/s43016-025-01268-y
 Degree: -

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Title: Nature Food
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus
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Affiliations:
Publ. Info: -
Pages: - Volume / Issue: 6 Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 1133 - 1152 Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/nature-food
Publisher: Nature